Giants vs. Bears Total Prediction
The total for Sunday’s matchup between the Giants and Bears currently sits at 40.5 points. While the Bears have struggled on offense, the Giants have had issues defensively. What’s the best play for bettors when it comes to the total?
257 New York Giants (+6) at 258 Chicago Bears (-6); O/U 40.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 24, 2019
Solider Field, Chicago, IL
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Giants are receiving 57% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
New York Giants Fantasy Spin
Sterling Shepard (concussion) wasn't listed on the Giants' final injury report for Week 12 against the Bears. CB Janoris Jenkins and LT Nate Solder were also left off the final report, suggesting all three have cleared the concussion protocol. This will be Shepard's first game action since Week 5. He was a target hog early in the year (nine targets in three of his four appearances), though much of his production came while Golden Tate was serving a four-game suspension. Even with Tate a threat to his workload, Shepard should still warrant WR3 consideration in most formats.
Chicago Bears Fantasy Spin
Mitchell Trubisky (hip) wasn't listed on the Bears' final injury report. Trubisky was never thought to be at real risk of missing Sunday's matchup against the Giants and practiced in full all week. It's a great matchup against the Giants' porous secondary, but Trubisky has been anyone's idea of a bottom five QB all season. Overall, his average of 5.6 adjusted yards per attempt ranks 34th among 35 QBs with at least 100 pass attempts through 11 weeks. Trubisky's reluctance to run the ball gives him an extremely low floor despite the decent spot.
NFL Betting Trends
The over is a perfect 7-0 in the Giants’ last seven road games and has cashed in four of their last five games overall.
The under is 4-0 in the Bears’ last four games overall and is 7-1 in their last eight home games.
This matchup is tough because while I don’t trust Trubisky and the Bears to move the ball consistently, I also don’t believe the Giants can slow down anyone defensively. Trubisky was putrid a week ago in L.A., but he also won’t have Aaron Donald in his face all game. Ultimately, I trust the Bears offense at home more than I trust the Giants defensively. This is such a small number that any defensive or special teams score will likely help push the combined score over the total.
NFL Week 12 Prediction: Giants/Bears OVER 40.5