Bears vs. Lions Prediction
With the Chicago Bears expecting to be without their quarterback this afternoon, will the Detroit Lions possible steal a game from them at 12:30PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
105 Chicago Bears at 106 Detroit Lions
Thursday, November 22, 2018
12:30PM ET – Ford Field
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, the Bears are favored on the road, as they are getting odds of -3 points against Lions. The over/under total for the contest is currently listed at 43.5 points. The public betting for this game currently has 52 percent going on the Bears on the road.
Lions get back on track
The Detroit Lions ended their three-game losing streak on Sunday with a surprising 20-19 win at home over the Carolina Panthers. The Lions are now 4-6 overall this year with a 6-4 mark against the spread and a 6-4 record with the over. They ended a three-game losing streak at the betting window last week as well.
The Lions are struggling on offense somewhat, averaging 22.2 points and 362.3 yards per contest. Matthew Stafford has thrown for 2,605 yards and 17 touchdowns with eight interceptions. He has been sacked 30 times on the year. Rookie RB Kerryon Johnson has rushed for 641 yards and three touchdowns, but he is out for today’s gamedue to a knee sprain he suffered on Sunday. Receiver Marvin Jones Jr. is also out with a knee injury. Kenny Golladay is the team’s leading receiver with 714 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, the Lions are allowing 26.3 points and 384.7 yards per contest. They do have 28 sacks as a unit. Devon Kennard leads the group with six sacks.
Bears going with Daniel
The Bears are currently riding a four-game win streak right now following a 25-20 win over the Vikings on Sunday night. They hold a 1.5-game lead in the NFC North with a 7-3 record overall. They are also 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 with the over. Chicago has covered the spread in four straight.
Offensively, Chicago is putting up 29.4 points and 369.8 yards per game. Mitchell Trubisky has thrown for 2,469 yards and 20 touchdowns this year with nine interceptions, but a shoulder injury has him doubtful to play today. He will be replaced by Chase Daniel. Daniel has thrown just 78 passes in his NFL career and has one touchdown with one INT. He hasn’t thrown a pass in a game this season. Jordan Howard is the leading rusher of the Bears with 523 yards and five touchdowns. The Bears are very strong on defense, allowing just 19.5 points and 334.3 yards per contest. Their run defense is giving up only 77.8 yards per contest. They have 32 sacks this year, including six against the Lions two weeks ago. They also have 27 turnovers forced. Khalil Mack has eight sacks this year to lead the unit.
NFL Betting Trends
The Lions are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 conference games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games.
The Bears are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven conference games, but just 1-6 ATS in their last seven Thursday games.
Both teams are without key players for this game. The Lions won’t have their lead back and a top receiver, while the Bears won’t have their QB. Given the game is in Detroit and the Bears had a Sunday night game last weekend, I think the Bears will struggle with a backup QB. The Chicago defense should keep them in the game, but I think the Lions can find ways to manufacture a few points. I will take the home team with the points in their annual Thanksgiving Day game.
NFL Prediction: Detroit Lions +3