Buccaneers vs. Dolphins Total Pick
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, the Buccaneers are considered a slight favorite on the road, as they are getting odds of -1 point against the Dolphins. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 42.5 points. The home team has won five of the last six meetings between these two teams and they have hit the over in five of their last six contests. The public betting for this game has Tampa Bay getting 52 percent of the wagers on the road. Today’s game takes place from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, Florida and will air live on FOX.
Miami is coming off a 45-21 loss at Carolina on Monday night for its third straight loss. The Dolphins are now 4-5 on the season and 5-4 with the under. However, they have hit the over in four straight. Miami has been a mess on offense all season, averaging just 15.2 points and 289.3 yards per game. Jay Cutler hasn’t had a season to remember, as he has 1,519 passing yards with 12 touchdowns and six interceptions. The team traded away leading rusher Jay Ajayi a few weeks back. Kenyan Drake is the leading active rusher with 176 yards and a touchdown. Jarvis Landry is the leading receiver with 61 catches for 472 yards and five scores. Defensively, Miami is giving up 24.9 points and 351.9 yards per game.
Tampa Bay snapped a five-game losing streak last week with a 15-10 win over the Jets at home. Tampa is now 3-6 on the season and 5-4 with the under. The Bucs have hit the under in three straight. The win last week is somewhat surprising as Ryan Fitzpatrick got the start for the injured Jameis Winston. Fitzpatrick will start again on Sunday and leads an offense that is averaging 19.2 points and 356.7 yards per game. Fitzpatrick has thrown for 545 yards with five touchdowns and three interceptions in his limited time on the field. Mike Evans is returning from a 1-game suspension. The receiver has 40 catches for 532 yards and four touchdowns. Doug Martin is their leading rusher with 305 yards and two scores. Defensively, Tampa Bay is allowing 23.1 points and 386.7 yards per contest. Their pass defense is giving up 276.8 yards per game.
In a game of two struggling offenses, you would think the under would be the play, but I actually think the over may hit. Both defenses aren’t exactly impressive either, so it should leave the door open to some big plays for both teams. Miami is on an over streak as is and the Dolphins have hit the over in six straight at home against a team with a losing record.
NFL WEEK 11 PREDICTION: BUCCANEERS/DOLPHINS OVER 42.5