Texans vs. Ravens Week 11 Prediction
One of the best matchups on the Week 11 NFL schedule pits the Texans and Ravens against each other in Baltimore at 1:00 p.m. ET on Sunday. Listed as a 4.5-point underdog, are the Texans a sound play for bettors?
465 Houston Texans (+4.5) at 466 Baltimore Ravens (-4.5); O/U 51.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 17
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Ravens are receiving 57% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Houston Texans Fantasy Spin
Will Fuller (hamstring) has been ruled out for Week 11. Fuller had been trending towards playing after getting in a limited week of practice, but the Texans don't want to risk a setback. It'll be another week of DeAndre Hopkins and Kenny Stills in two-wide sets. Barring setbacks, Fuller is set up to return on a short turnaround in Week 12. The Texans also ruled out CB Bradley Roby (hamstring) for Sunday's game with the Ravens.
Baltimore Ravens Fantasy Spin
Marquise Brown (ankle) is questionable for Week 11 against the Texans. Brown was limited in practice Friday, so he will likely play at slightly less than 100% this weekend. The rookie is still an upside WR3 against a burnable Texans secondary. The Ravens have been limiting his practice reps this season with Brown nursing foot and ankle injuries. If Brown is surprisingly inactive, Willie Snead and Miles Boykin would be last-minute flex options.
NFL Betting Trends
The Texans are 4-1 against the spread in their last five road games and are 4-1 against the number in their last five games coming off a bye.
The Ravens are just 1-6 against the spread in their last seven home games and are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Both of these teams do a great job of controlling the ball (and therefor, the clock), which limits possessions. Both teams also have mobile quarterbacks that can extend drives with their legs. Thus, I see this game resulting in a one-possession game, which should favor the underdog Texans. Houston is 4-1 against the spread in its last five games while Baltimore has struggled to cover the spread at home this year (save for its win over the Patriots before the bye, of course). In what should be a competitive, close game that potentially comes down to the wire, I’ll gladly take the 4.5 points.
NFL Week 11 Prediction: Houston Texans +4.5