Saints vs. Bucs NFL Week 11 Prediction

Saints vs. Bucs, 11/17/19 NFL Week 11 Betting Predictions

NFC South foes face off in Tampa today when the Bucs host the Saints as a 5-point home underdog. Are the Bucs the best play for bettors or will the Saints rebound in a big way following just their second loss of the season?

Game Snapshot

453 New Orleans Saints (-5.5) at 454 Tampa Bay Bucs (+5.5); O/U 50.5

1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 17, 2019

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

Public Betting Trends

According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Saints are receiving 61% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.

New Orleans Saints Fantasy Spin

Saints CB Marshon Lattimore (hamstring) is out for Week 11 against the Bucs. This was expected after not practicing this week, but it's fantastic news for Mike Evans, who was slowed down by Lattimore in their last matchup. Evans will be a high-ceiling WR1 with likely good game script. P.J. Williams and Eli Apple will be the primary corners for New Orleans.

Tampa Bay Bucs Fantasy Spin

Coach Bruce Arians said Ronald Jones "can do even more in the passing game". Arians specifically mentioned doing more than just catch screen passes because Jones has developed his route tree. All of this praise comes just days after Jones surprisingly caught 8-of-8 targets for 77 yards against Arizona. It's an ability we haven't seen out of the former second-rounder even going back to his college days at USC, but Jones has taken positive steps all across the board in 2019 after a miserable rookie season. Jones is ascending towards RB2 fantasy value. He'll be tested against the Saints this weekend.

NFL Betting Trends

New Orleans

The Saints are 6-1 against the spread the spread in their last seven games overall and are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 road games.

Tampa Bay

The Bucs are 0-5 against the number in their last five games overall and have failed to cover in all four of their last four home games as well.

Prediction

The Saints looked rough in their matchup versus the Falcons last Sunday, allowing Drew Brees to be sacked six times and struggling to shake free against an Atlanta secondary that had been surrendering yards all season. The Bucs do not have a great defensive backfield and Michael Thomas should carve up Tampa’s secondary today. That said, the Saints won’t be able to move the ball on the ground against Todd Bowles’ front seven, which has been stellar versus the run all season. Thus, I see the Saints being one dimensional offensively. On the other side, without Lattimore, the Bucs should be able to do some damage against New Orleans’ secondary and keep this one close with a couple of big plays.

NFL Week 11 Prediction: Tampa Bay Bucs +5.5

Loading...

NFL Predictions & Picks

Thumbnail NFL Championship Sunday Injury Report Which injuries will impact the NFL Conference Championship games this Sunday? Will the Chiefs have tight end Travis Kelce for their matchup with the Titans? What...
Thumbnail Total in NFC Title Game Climbing The total for Sunday’s NFC Championship Game between Aaron Jones and the Packers and 49ers has climbed over the last 24 hours. After opening at 45, where is the...
Thumbnail Tom Brady Next Team Prop Odds Which team will roster quarterback Tom Brady in Week 1 of the 2020 NFL regular season? The betting odds are out and the favorite is the team he’s played for his entire...
Thumbnail Public Backing Chiefs, 49ers on Sunday We’re still a few days away from Championship Sunday in the NFL but as of right now, our public betting data shows that bettors are backing the two home...
Thumbnail Derrick Henry has owned the Chiefs The Titans are 7.5-point road underdogs to the Chiefs in Sunday’s AFC title game, but they were dogs the last two weeks and were able to pull off upsets thanks to...

NFL Headlines