Vikings vs. Bears Total Prediction
The Minnesota Vikings and Chicago Bears are the two frontrunners in the NFC North entering Week 11 of the season. Will these two have a black and blue battle that the NFC North was once known for, or will it be a shootout on Sunday night at 8:20PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
457 Minnesota Vikings at 458 Chicago Bears
Sunday, November 18, 2018
8:20PM ET – Soldier Field
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, the Bears are the slight favorite in this game, as they are getting odds of -2.5 points against the Vikings. The over/under total for the contest is currently listed at 44.5 points. The public betting for this game currently has 63 percent going on the Vikings on the road.
Vikings coming off bye
The Minnesota Vikings are coming off a bye, but earned a 24-9 win at home over the Detroit Lions prior to that. Minnesota is 5-3-1 on the season, 5-3-1 against the spread and 5-4 with the under. They have hit the under in two straight.
The Vikings are improving on defense each week, allowing just 22.7 points and 347 yards per game on the year. Their run defense is allowing just 88.9 yards per game. In the win over the Lions, the Vikings racked up 10 sacks, giving them 31 for the season. Danielle Hunter is leading the NFL with 11.5 sacks thus far. Offensively, Minnesota is averaging 24.6 points and 390 yards per game this year. Kirk Cousins has thrown for 2,685 yards and 17 touchdowns to lead the way while receiver Adam Thielen has 78 catches for 947 yards and seven touchdowns. Dalvin Cook finally got himself going in the win over the Lions. He has 187 yards on the year with 89 coming against the Lions.
Bears on a roll
Thanks to a 34-22 win at home over the Detroit Lions last week, the Chicago Bears have won three straight and hold a ½ game lead in the NFC North with a 6-3 record. Chicago is 6-3 against the spread as well and 6-3 with the over. They have hit the over in five of their last six games.
Chicago has been really strong defensively this year, allowing just 19.4 points and 339.9 yards per game. Their run defense has been the strength, allowing only 84 yards per contest. The unit has 30 sacks on the year and has forced 24 turnovers. Khalil Mack alone has seven sacks and four forced fumbles. Offensively, the Bears have been improving. They now average 29.9 points and 376.1 yards per game. Mitchell Trubisky has thrown for 2,304 yards and 19 touchdowns this year with seven interceptions. He also has rushed for 320 yards and three scores while Jordan Howard has 460 rushing yards with five touchdowns.
NFL Betting Trends
The Vikings have hit the over in four of their last five road games, but have hit the under in 21 of their last 28 division games.
The Bears have hit the over in five of their last six in November and in seven of their last 10 division games.
Both of these teams have good defensive numbers but have still been vulnerable to the big play. Despite that, history is on the side of the under. These two have hit the under in three of their last four meetings and I like it for Sunday as well. Both defensive units apply a lot of pressure on the quarterback and that should lead to some ugly offense. Cousins has been somewhat turnover prone in his career and Trubisky is still going to make some second-year mistakes. This should be a classic division grinder for both teams where points come at a premium.
NFL Prediction: Vikings/Bears Under 44.5