Broncos vs. Chargers Total Prediction
AFC West rivals meet in L.A. on Sunday at 4:05 p.m. ET when the Chargers host the Denver Broncos. Will the game turn low-scoring for bettors?
467 Denver Broncos at 468 Los Angeles Chargers
4:05 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 18
StubHub Center, Carson, California
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Chargers are 7-point favorites to beat the Broncos. The total, meanwhile, sits at 45.5 points. As of this writing, 57% of the public betting tickets are on the Chargers to cover the point spread.
Case Keenum completed 26-of-42 passes for 290 yards and one touchdown in the Broncos' Week 9 loss to the Texans. It was a shrug-inducing day for Keenum, who at least notched the one score to make his outing semi-respectable. He ultimately missed a few downfield throws (as he's one to do) and wasn't helped any on a deep touchdown-drop by rookie Courtland Sutton. Demaryius Thomas' absence didn't seem to faze him any, though, as he instead locked in on TE Jeff Heuerman (10/83/1) for a team-high 11 targets. Keenum's now thrown an even number of touchdowns and picks (11) this season. He'll again be a viable streamer when the Broncos return from their bye and face the Chargers in Week 11.
Los Angeles Chargers
Keenan Allen was added to the Chargers' injury report on Thursday, getting in a limited session with hip and finger issues.Mike Williams (groin) was also added, getting in a limited session. Mid-week additions are one thing. Mid-week additions with two separate injuries are another. It's not what you would like to see, but there is zero indication Allen's Week 11 status is in doubt. Allen has a tough matchup with Denver's Chris Harris.
NFL Betting Trends
The under is 5-1 in the Broncos’ last six games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
The under is 5-1 in the Chargers’ last six home games versus a team with a losing road record.
This game has produced unders in the last five meetings between these two teams when the Chargers are the host (San Diego, Los Angeles). The under is also 5-2-1 in the Broncos’ last eight games overall, is 3-1-1 in the last five games versus AFC West and 4-1 in their last five games coming off a bye. On the other side, the under is 7-1 in the Chargers’ last eight divisional games, is 4-1 in their last five games overall and 5-2 in their last seven home games.
NFL Week 11 Prediction: Broncos/Chargers under 45.5