Broncos vs. Vikings Total Prediction
The Broncos head to Minnesota on Sunday to visit the Vikings at 1:00 p.m. ET. The total for the matchup opened at 38.5 but has climbed to 40 at most books. Does the over hold the most value for bettors?
459 Denver Broncos (+10.5) at 460 Minnesota Vikings (-10.5); O/U 40
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 17
U.S Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Vikings are receiving 61% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Denver Broncos Fantasy Spin
Brandon Allen completed 12-of-20 passes for 193 yards and two touchdowns in Denver's Week 9 victory over the Browns. You would've never guessed Allen hadn't thrown a regular season pass coming in. His arm strength wasn't anything to write home about, but the 27-year-old journeyman gave Courtland Sutton (5/56/1) and Noah Fant (3/115/1) more than enough opportunities to make plays, most notably hitting Sutton with a 21-yard money-ball on Denver's second drive to put the Broncos up 7-0 early. He was also helped by Fant after the catch on a shallow crossing route that went for a 75-yard score and another floater along the sideline that dropped into the rookie's lap to move the chains after the Browns failed to convert a fourth-and-4 toss over the middle. No. 42 overall pick Drew Lock is eligible to be activated at any point after the team's Week 10 bye, but Allen showed just enough to undeniably stick as the team's starter in Week 11 against the Vikings.
Minnesota Vikings Fantasy Spin
Adam Thielen (hamstring) remained sidelined at Wednesday's practice. He was in attendance rehabbing with resistance training on the sidelines but didn't participate in team drills. With Minnesota's bye week occurring immediately after Sunday's contest against Denver, it seems farfetched for Thielen to suit up and potentially experience his second re-aggravation since initially injuring his hamstring in Week 7. Fantasy players should expect increased involvement for seventh-round rookie Olabisi Johnson, Kyle Rudolph, and Irv Smith if Thielen recovers for one more week.
NFL Betting Trends
The under is 13-3-1 in the Broncos’ last 17 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
The under is 9-3 in the Vikings’ last 12 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
The under is 7-1-1 in the Broncos’ last nine road games, is 21-7-1 in their last 29 games overall and is 5-1 in their last six games coming off a bye week. On the other side, the under is 6-1 in the Vikings’ last seven home games versus a team with a losing road record, is 11-5 in their last 16 home games and is 4-1 in their last five games versus an opponent with a losing record.
NFL Week 11 Prediction: Broncos/Vikings UNDER 40