Falcons vs. Panthers Total Prediction
The total for Sunday’s NFC South matchup between the Falcons and Panthers have dropped from 51 down to 49.5. Should bettors follow the line movement and take the under or is there more value in the over?
455 Atlanta Falcons (+5.5) at 456 Carolina Panthers (-5.5); O/U 49.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 17
Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Panthers are receiving 55% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Spin
NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports Austin Hooper is expected to be sidelined "about a month" with a sprained MCL. Fantasy owners likely won't get Hooper back until the playoffs, as four weeks would have him back for Week 15. With Hooper out, the Falcons will likely lean more on their three-WR set of Julio Jones, Calvin Ridley, and Russell Gage for targets rather than blocking specialist TE Luke Stocker.
Carolina Panthers Fantasy Spin
Kyle Allen completed 28-of-43 passes for 307 yards, one touchdown, and one interception in the Panthers' 24-16, Week 10 loss to the Packers. It was Allen's first 300-yard game of the season, and it took place in front of his parents against his childhood favorite team at Lambeau Field. Allen tried to throw several interceptions late in this one but was able to march the Panthers all the way to the one-yard line as Christian McCaffrey was stuffed to end the game. Allen lost a fumble earlier in the day and took three total sacks. Allen should have success next week at home against the Falcons.
NFL Betting Trends
The under is 4-1 in the Falcons’ last five games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
The over is 9-4 in the Panthers’ last 13 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
The under has been a very profitable in this matchup, going 9-2-1 in the last 12 meetings between these two teams and 17-5-2 in the last 24 meetings at Bank of America Stadium. The under is also 5-1 in the Falcons’ last six conference games, is 9-4 in their last 13 games coming following a win and is 25-9 in their last 34 games played in November. The under is also 5-2 in the Panthers’ last seven games versus a team with a losing record and is 19-9 in their last 28 home games when facing a team with a record.
NFL Week 11 Prediction: Falcons/Panthers UNDER 49.5