Dolphins vs. Packers Prediction
The Green Bay Packers are a big favorite at home today against the Miami Dolphins. Will they be able to cover a double-digit spread at 4:25PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
261 Miami Dolphins at 262 Green Bay Packers
Sunday, November 11, 2018
4:25PM ET – Lambeau Field
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, the Packers are favored at home, as they are getting odds of -10 points against the Dolphins. The over/under total for the contest is currently listed at 47.5 points. The public betting for this game currently has 77 percent going on the Packers at home. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NFL Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Packers coming off tough road games
The Packers are coming off a 31-17 loss at New England last week for its third loss in four games. They have went to New England and Los Angeles the last two week. Green Bay is now 3-4-1 overall, 3-5 against the spread and 5-3 with the over. The Packers have also failed to cover in three of their last four games.
Green Bay is still putting up some big yardage numbers this year, averaging 430.3 yards per game despite resulting in only 24 points per contest. Aaron Rodgers has thrown for 2,542 yards and 15 touchdowns with just one interception. He has been sacked 23 times this year. Davante Adams is the leading receiver with 58 catches for 730 yards and seven touchdowns while Aaron Jones is the leading rusher with 349 yards and two scores. Defensively, Green Bay is giving up 25.5 points and 373.8 yards per game. They have 25 sacks and have forced nine turnovers.
Dolphins stop losing streak
The Miami Dolphins snapped a two-game losing streak last week with a 13-6 win against the Jets at home. The Dolphins have still dropped four of their last six games and are 5-4 on the season. They are also 5-4 against the spread and 5-4 with the over. Miami has covered in just one of their last three games.
Miami is putting up 20.8 points and 334.9 yards per game on offense this year as it deals with injuries. Quarterback Ryan Tannehill remains out with his shoulder injury and Brock Osweiler will get another start. He has thrown for 1,034 yards and six touchdowns with three interceptions this year. Veteran back Frank Gore is leading the Dolphins on the ground with 438 yards. Defensively, Miami is giving up 25 points and 405.2 yards per game. The unit has just 15 sacks this year, but does have 15 interceptions.
NFL Betting Trends
The Packers are 3-8 against the spread against a winning team and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games in November.
Miami is just 1-8 against the spread in their last nine road games and 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games in November.
Green Bay will welcome a return home after playing against the Pats and Rams on the road. Miami is a defense that Aaron Rodgers should be able to pick apart and put up a lot of points on. Miami has its abilities as well, and could find some success against the Green Bay defense, but I will definitely side with Rodgers over Osweiler in a shootout. Feel good about the Packers despite the big spread.
NFL Prediction: Green Bay Packers -10