NFL Predictions: Patriots vs. Broncos to fall under betting total? 11/10/17

Patriots vs. Broncos Total Prediction

The Patriots will head to Denver in Week 10 to take on a Broncos team that is struggling mightily. Will bettors cash on the under at the betting window when these two teams meet for Sunday Night Football?

Game Info

Who: Patriots (6-2) at Broncos (3-5)

When: 8:30 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 12

Where: Sports Authority Field, Denver, CO

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the over/under currently sits at 44.5 points after hitting the board at 46.5. As for the point spread, the Broncos opened as a touchdown-sized home underdog but the line was bet up to 7.5 at the majority of online and Vegas sports books.

Bet NFL Week 10 Games

As of this writing, nearly 70% of public bettors are backing New England and laying the 7.5 points. Thus, if you thought that you could grab the Patriots when the line dropped, think again. Unless wiseguys start pounding the Broncos, then the only line movement we'll see is the point spread continuing to climb.

The Patriots enter play having covered 10 of their last 12 road games and going a perfect 7-0 at the betting window in their last seven games played on grass. They're also 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games following a bye week.

On the other side, the Broncos are winless at 0-4 against the spread in their last four games overall. They're also 2-6-1 against the number in their last nine conference games and have failed to cover in five of their last seven games following a loss.

Our Prediction: The under has cashed in five of the last seven meetings between these two teams in Denver. The under is also 4-0 in the Patriots' last four games overall, is 9-1 in their last 10 games played on grass, and is 10-4 in their last 14 road games. On the other side, the under is 7-1 in the Broncos' last eight home games versus a team with a winning road record and is 8-3 in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.

 

NFL WEEK 10 PREDICTIONS: PATRIOTS/BRONCOS UNDER 44.5