Saints vs. Bucs Week 9 SNF Prediction
NFC South rivals will battle on Sunday Night Football this week when Drew Brees and the Saints visit Tom Brady and the Bucs at 8:20 p.m. ET. Are the Bucs laying too many points to the Saints as 4-point home favorites in this matchup?
473 New Orleans Saints (+4) at 474 Tampa Bay Bucs (-4); o/u 50.5
8:20 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 8, 2020
Venue: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
New Orleans Saints DFS Spin
ESPN's Diana Russini said Drew Brees (right shoulder) and Michael Thomas (ankle, hamstring) will play Sunday against Tampa. Head coach Sean Payton was noncommittal about Brees' and Thomas' Week 9 availability, but it would be a stunner if they were inactive for Week 9's clash with the Bucs. Thomas' presence could cut into Alvin Kamara's comically large target share, but both players will be must-starts in all formats. Brees, meanwhile, is a QB2 option against the Bucs. He threw for 160 yards and two scores in Week 1 against Tampa.
Tampa Bay Bucs DFS Spin
Tom Brady completed 28-of-40 passes for 279 yards and two touchdowns in the Bucs' 25-23, Week 8 win over the Giants Monday night. The Giants gave Brady some fits in this one, sacking him twice, and forcing him into a couple errant throws, but the Bucs were able to survive and move to 6-2. Brady's two touchdowns were second-half, inside-the-10 hookups with Rob Gronkowski and Mike Evans from three and eight yards out, respectively. The Evans one was a perfectly-thrown fade over the top of CB James Bradberry. Brady has multiple touchdown passes in 6-of-8 games and has settled in as a solid floor way with an elevated ceiling as a QB1. He'll get Antonio Brown added to his arsenal in Week 9 against the Saints, and Chris Godwin also hopes to return from his broken index finger.
Saints vs. Bucs Betting Prediction
The Saints are a perfect 4-0 against the spread in their last four meetings with the Bucs, including Week 1 of this season in New Orleans. The Saints are also 20-6 against the spread in their last 26 games as an underdog, are 28-10 against the number in their last 38 road games and are 21-8 at the betting window in their last 29 games as a road underdog. The Bucs, meanwhile, are 2-5 against the spread in their last seven divisional games, are 2-5-1 against the number in their last eight games versus an opponent with a winning record and are 2-7-2 at the betting window in their last 11 home games.
NFL WEEK 9 BETTING PREDICTION: NEW ORLEANS SAINTS +4