Chiefs vs. Titans Total Prediction
While the number did drop a half-point off the opening line, the total for the Chiefs-Titans matchup on Sunday hasn’t seen significant movement. Sitting at 48 at most books, where’s the value when it comes to the total for this Week 10 matchup?
251 Kansas City Chiefs (-6) at 252 Tennessee Titans (+6); O/U 48
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 10
Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Chiefs are receiving 74% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Kansas City Chiefs Fantasy Spin
Patrick Mahomes (knee) was a full participant for Wednesday's practice. It's the first time Mahomes has practiced in full since initially suffering his injury in Week 7. Fully expected to start against the Titans, the reigning MVP can be confidently fired up as a QB1 on Sunday. His presence under center is obviously a monumental boost for all of Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, and Sammy Watkins, but it also projects more play volume for Ryan Tannehill, Derrick Henry, Corey Davis, and A.J. Brown on the opposite sideline in a sneaky shootout.
Tennessee Titans Fantasy Spin
Corey Davis (hip) remained sidelined on Thursday. Davis is now genuinely questionable for Sunday's game against the Chiefs. Davis went 6/80/1 in Ryan Tannehill's first start but is just 6/57/0 since. Even if he suits up, he will be a weak WR4 vs. an underrated KC pass defense. Tajae Sharpe would see more looks in Davis' absence.
NFL Betting Trends
The over is 11-3 in the Chiefs’ last 14 road games and has cashed in five of their last seven games overall.
The over is 6-2 in the Titans’ last eight home games and is 7-3 in their last 10 games played in November.
With Mahomes likely back under center for the Chiefs, it’s the over or nothing for me. Sure, Mahomes could struggle in his first action back after suffering a knee injury three weeks ago in a win over the Broncos. But what if he picks up right where he left off? The Chiefs were having some issues offensively when he was injured, but again, fade Andy Reid and Co. at your own risk. Meanwhile, the Titans’ defense finally cracked a week ago in Carolina. That unit had been excellent all year but with the burden of having to carry a limited offense, I see Tennessee’s defense struggling in back-to-back weeks.
NFL Week 10 Prediction: Chiefs/Titans OVER 48