Falcons vs. Saints Total Prediction
The total for Sunday’s NFC South matchup between the Falcons and Saints opened at 51.5 and has been bet down only slightly to 51. With no significant line movement occurring during the week, what’s the play for bettors when it comes to this total?
259 Atlanta Falcons (+13.5) at 260 New Orleans Saints (-13.5); O/U 51
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 10
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Saints are receiving 67% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Spin
Falcons coach Dan Quinn confirmed Matt Ryan (ankle) will return for Week 10 against the Saints. Ryan saw his streak of 163 consecutive starts come to an end in Week 8 but luckily his sprained ankle only cost him one game. Even with the Falcons reeling, Ryan has remained a steady fantasy presence, topping 300 yards passing in six of his first seven games. Another 300-yard performance should be in the offing for Sunday's likely shootout in the Big Easy.
New Orleans Saints Fantasy Spin
Alvin Kamara (ankle) wasn't listed on the Saints' final injury report. Fire up Kamara as a mid-tier RB1 in a potential smash spot against the Falcons. Still, Latavius Murray should be able to provide near-weekly FLEX value with Drew Brees back under center with the potential for much more when the Saints are able to build a multi-score lead. Mark Ingram was the PPR RB8 and RB26 in 2017 and 2018, respectively, while working as the 'Robin' to Kamara's 'Batman'. The Saints are 13-point favorites over the Falcons in Week 10, meaning Kamara (obviously) and Murray should be fired up in season-long leagues of all shapes and sizes.
NFL Betting Trends
The under is 8-3 in the Falcons’ last 11 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
The under is 4-0 in the Saints’ last four games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
This total is too high. The Saints will score plenty against a hapless Atlanta defense, I’m just not convinced the Falcons will rediscover their offense. That unit is broken, thanks in large part to an offensive line that has nearly gotten Matt Ryan killed the last two seasons. The Saints have played great defense since late September and I expect them to play well again on that side of the ball this Sunday. The under is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings between these two teams at the Superdome.
NFL Week 10 Prediction: Saints/Falcons UNDER 51