Bucs vs. Titans Week 8 Prediction
The Titans turned their offense over to Ryan Tannehill last week and picked up a 23-20 win over the Chargers as a small home favorite. Once again listed as a small home fave versus the Bucs on Sunday, will the Titans cover for a second straight week?
253 Tampa Bay Bucs (+2.5) at 254 Tennessee Titans (-2.5); O/U 45.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, October 27, 2019
Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Bucs are receiving 53% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Tampa Bay Bucs Fantasy Spin
O.J. Howard (hamstring) is out for Week 8 against the Titans. Howard began the week as a limited participant but was absent for both Thursday and Friday's sessions, suggesting he suffered an injury at Wednesday's practice. With Howard out of commission, the Bucs will turn to veteran Cameron Brate at tight end. A proven red-zone presence (22 touchdowns since the start of 2016), Brate is very much in play as a streamer at a sparse fantasy position. He'll also carry DFS appeal as a cheap tight end flyer
Tennessee Titans Fantasy Spin
Delanie Walker (ankle) has been ruled out for the Titans' Week 8 matchup against the Buccaneers. Walker re-aggravated the same ankle that ended his season in 2018. This opens the door for Jonnu Smith to take on an even larger role. The Titans' SPARQ-plug backup TE had played between 42-68% of the offense's snaps in Weeks 1-7 before posting a season-high 83% snap rate in Week 7. Smith has flashed big-play ability for the position during his short three-year career, although stat lines of 6-44-0, 5-21-0, 2-20-0 and 2-22-0 in four career games with more than three targets don't demonstrate a massive ceiling. Still, a matchup with the league's 31st-ranked defense in PPR per game allowed to the TE position is tough to ignore
NFL Betting Trends
The Bucs are 4-1-1 against the spread in their last six road games but are just 1-9-1 at the betting window in their last 11 games played in the month of October.
The Titans are 1-4-1 against the number in their last six games overall and are winless at 0-4-1 against the spread in their last five home games.
The Titans have been a terrible bet coming off a win, posting a 16-33-2 ATS mark over their last 51 games in that situation. They’re also 14-42-2 at the betting window in their last 58 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. I just don’t trust the Titans, who should have lost last week when the Chargers had multiple cracks at the goal line with under a minute remaining. Their defense is stout, but the offense is only marginally better with Tannehill, who won’t have Walker at his disposal on Sunday. This line seems fishy and with the Bucs coming off their bye, I’ll bite on the +2.5.
NFL Week 8 Prediction: Tampa Bay Bucs +2.5