Bills vs. Dolphins Pick
Can the Buffalo Bills continue their win streak when they hit the road this Sunday to face the Miami Dolphins at 1PM ET?
According to the oddsmakers at BetDSI, the Bills are a slight favorite on the road, as they are getting odds of -3 points against the Dolphins. The over/under total for the game is listed at 43.5 points. Buffalo has won and covered the spread in five of the last six meetings with the Dolphins.
The Bills find themselves on a four-game winning streak following a 45-16 victory over the 49ers last week. It appears that firing the OC after the Week 2 loss to the Bills has worked because they are now 4-2 overall and against the spread. Buffalo is now putting up 27 points per game for the season. The Bills come into this game with one of the top rushing attacks, as LeSean McCoy looks like his old self, rushing for 587 yards and six touchdowns in 2016. However, he is listed as questionable for this game with a hamstring injury. If he is unable to play, Tyrod Taylor will have to step up. Taylor has thrown for 1,076 yards and eight touchdowns with only two interceptions while rushing for 236 yards and a score. The Buffalo defense can also step up for McCoy. The Bills are giving up just 17.2 points per game this season and the unit has racked up 20 sacks while forcing 12 turnovers on the year. Lorenzo Alexander has eight sacks this year to lead the team.
The Dolphins are coming off a surprising 30-15 win over the Steelers last week at home to move to 2-4 on the season and 2-4 against the spread. Both covers have come as a big underdog of 7.5 points or more. Miami is averaging just 19.7 points and 351.3 yards per game on offense, while the defense is struggling, allowing 22.3 points and 398.5 yards per contest. Ryan Tannehill is leading the offense with 1,524 yards and six touchdowns, but also has seven interceptions. The problem for the Miami offense is up front, as the line has produced just 584 rushing yards in six games and allowed 17 sacks.
While the Bills are on a roll, if they are without McCoy, that makes them a different team. His improved look this year has given Buffalo a different dynamic. I have full confidence the Bills can cover if McCoy is a go. Let’s assume he can’t, though. The offense may struggle some, but will still find ways to score. With that, the Buffalo defense should tear apart Miami. Their pass rush should create a lot of problems for a struggling Miami O-line. It will lead to turnovers and possibly defensive touchdowns. So, even without McCoy, Buffalo should cover.
NFL WEEK 7 PICK: BUFFALO BILLS -3