Vikings vs. Lions Total Prediction
NFC North rivals clash in Detroit this Sunday when the Lions host the Vikings at 1:00 p.m. ET. With Minnesota discovering its passing game in recent weeks, will the over cash or is there still more value in the under?
457 Minnesota Vikings (-2) at 458 Detroit Lions (+2); O/U 43.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, October 20, 2019
Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Vikings are receiving 51% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Minnesota Vikings Fantasy Spin
Stefon Diggs caught 7-of-11 targets for 167 yards and three touchdowns in the Vikings' 38-20, Week 6 win over the Eagles. Squeaky wheel gets the grease. After Adam Thielen's proverbial wheel was greased last week, it was Diggs' turn this Sunday. The 11 targets marked a new season-high as the Vikings made it a point to get the ball in Diggs' hands, even getting him a couple hand-offs that totaled 18 yards. Diggs' first score was a 62-yarder where he roasted slow-footed Rasul Douglas. The second was a wide-open 51-yard hookup on a coverage bust, and the third was a red-zone toe-tapper in the back of the end zone. The Eagles have been terrible against the pass all season. Diggs owners shouldn't expect monster games each week going forward; the Vikings figure to remain run-oriented. Diggs will be a WR2/3 next week against the Lions.
Detroit Lions Fantasy Spin
Matthew Stafford completed 18-of-32 passes for 265 scoreless yards in the Lions' 23-22, Week 6 loss to the Packers Monday night. The refs completely blew this game late for the Lions and gifted the Packers numerous extra plays and sets of downs in the fourth quarter by calling a pair of phantom illegal hands to the face penalties on Lions DE Trey Flowers, which directly led to a 35-yard Allen Lazard touchdown and the "game-winning" chip-shot field goal to Mason Crosby as time expired. On the final one, the Lions sacked Aaron Rodgers to force a fourth down and long field goal with just under two minutes on the clock and were going to get the ball back. Instead, the Packers kneeled it and kicked a field goal as time expired. Stafford, despite not throwing a touchdown, played well with several big hookups, including 121 yards on five completions to Kenny Golladay. Detroit's issue was settling for too many field goals. The Lions are this hack job by the refs and a last-minute Patrick Mahomes touchdown drive away from being undefeated. The Lions host the Vikings in Week 7.
NFL Betting Trends
The under is 4-0 in the Vikings’ last four games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
The over is 5-0 in the Lions’ last five games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
The under has been profitable in recent meetings between these two teams, cashing in five of the last six meetings overall. The under is also 6-0 in the Vikings’ last six road games, is 8-1 in their last nine conference matchups and is 9-3 in their last 12 games overall. On the other side, the under is a perfect 4-0 in the Lions’ last four games versus divisional opponents, is 6-1 in their last seven home games and has cashed in six of their last seven games following a loss.
NFL Week 7 Prediction: Vikings/Lions UNDER 43.5