Patriots vs. Chiefs Spread Prediction

New England Patriots vs. Kansas City Chiefs, 10/14/18 Predictions & Odds

The game of the week is on Sunday night in Foxborough, where the New England Patriots will host the Kansas City Chiefs at 8:20 p.m. ET. Will the Chiefs’ undefeated run end tonight at the hands of Tom Brady and the Pats?

Game Snapshot

275 Kansas City Chiefs at 276 New England Patriots

1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, October 14

Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

Public Betting Trends

According to oddsmakers from online sports book, the Patriots are 3.5-point favorites to beat the Chiefs. The total, meanwhile, sits at 58 points. As of this writing, 54% of the public betting tickets are on the Patriots to cover the point spread.

Kansas City Chiefs

Eric Berry (heel) is doubtful for Week 6 against the Patriots. Berry has yet to practice this season. With Eric Murray out and Armani Watts on IR, the Chiefs are running thin in the secondary. Justin Houston (hamstring) is also doubtful so the Chiefs defense will once again be compromised.

New England Patriots

Sony Michel (questionable, knee) is expected to play Week 6 against the Chiefs. NFL Network's Ian Rapoport hedged by calling him a "game-time decision," though the expectation is that Michel will play along with teammates Josh Gordon (hamstring), Rob Gronkowski (ankle) and Chris Hogan (thigh), who are also listed as questionable. The rookie has topped 100 yards from scrimmage in back-to-back games while settling in as a weekly starter in fantasy. Despite losing passing-down reps to James White, Michel remains a solid RB2 in all formats.

NFL Betting Trends

Kansas City

The Chiefs are 5-0 against the spread in their last five games overall and have covered four straight on the road.

New England

The Patriots are 35-14-2 against the spread in their last 51 home games and are 39-19-2 ATS in their last 60 games overall.


Football is about matchups and I don’t like this matchup for either defense. Without Houston, the Chiefs are down one of their best defenders and their top pass rushers. Despite what they showed a week ago against the Jaguars, this is not a good defense so losing Houston is problematic against Brady tonight. On the other side, the Pats don’t have the speed to hang with Tyreek Hill, Kareem Hunt, Sammy Watkins and Travis Kelce. I see this being a field goal either way, so I love that the hook is attached with the undefeated Chiefs.


NFL Week 6 Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs +3.5

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