Titans vs. Falcons Week 4 Prediction
The Falcons are off to a sluggish start while the Titans haven’t won since their surprise rout of the Browns in Week 1. Which 1-2 team is the better bet to cover this afternoon when the Falcons host the Titans at 1:00 p.m. ET?
265 Tennessee Titans (+4) at 266 Atlanta Falcons (-4); O/U 46
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, September 29, 2019
AT&T Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Falcons are receiving 62% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Tennessee Titans Fantasy Spin
Delanie Walker (knee) wasn't listed on the Titans' final injury report. Walker is good to go for Sunday. He's one of just nine TEs with at least 20 targets this season and is set up well against a Falcons defense that regularly invites opposing QBs to check the ball down to RBs and TEs in the underneath areas of the field. Continue to fire up Walker as a fairly matchup proof low-end TE1.
Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Spin
Calvin Ridley said, "It was hard to get open" against the Colts' zone defense last week. Falcons OC Dirk Koetter said it was his fault for not including Ridley more in Week 3 -- Ridley had just one target -- but Ridley said he wasn't able to get open because he wasn't running routes directly against a defensive back. While it's concerning Ridley wasn't able to beat zone, it's at least good news that Ridley's lack of involvement wasn't by design. Expect Ridley's targets to climb back to the 6-10 range against the Titans at home, assuming his hip checks out.
NFL Betting Trends
The Tians are 4-1-1 against the spread in their last six games against the Falcons.
The favorite is 0-3-1 against the number in the last four meetings between these two teams.
The Falcons are talented but whether it’s bad game planning or poor execution (or some kind of combination of both), they just can’t put it all together under Dan Quinn. Matt Ryan has already thrown six interceptions, the team was a penalty-creating machine last weekend in Indianapolis and the defense lost safety Keanu Neal (Achilles) and could be without stud DT Grady Jarrett (toe). They’ve also been horrendous against non-conference opponents, posting a 1-10 record over their past 11 regular-season games against an AFC foe. That includes five straight losses following last week’s 27-24 loss to the Colts. Meanwhile, the Titans have their own issues, namely at quarterback with the ultra-conservative Marcus Mariota and a bad offensive line. Still, they have the better defense in this matchup and should be able to lean on Derrick Henry to keep the game close, perhaps even pulling off the outright upset.
NFL Week 4 Prediction: Tennessee Titans +4