Chiefs vs. Lions Total Prediction
The undefeated Chiefs will take on the unbeaten Lions this Sunday when the non-conference foes will meet at 1:00 p.m. ET at Ford Field. Will the game turn into a shootout or will the final score fall under the betting total?
261 Kansas City Chiefs (-6.5) at 262 Detroit Lions (+6.5); O/U 55
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, September 29, 2019
Ford Field, Detroit, MI
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Chiefs are receiving 72% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Kansas City Chiefs Fantasy Spin
LeSean McCoy (ankle) was a limited participant in practice Wednesday. Damien Williams (knee) was unavailable. McCoy's limited involvement isn't too shocking since coach Andy Reid said the vet re-tweaked his ankle "a little bit" upon exiting Sunday's win over the Ravens. McCoy will likely suit up, but backup Darrel Williams will have value off the bench if the former's even slightly limited heading into Sunday. Williams saw five targets as the team's interim receiving back in Week 3.
Detroit Lions Fantasy Spin
Darius Slay (hamstring) remained limited at Thursday's practice. He was noncommittal when asked about his status earlier this week, though Slay's presence at practice, albeit on a limited basis, puts him on track to suit up Sunday against Kansas City. Slay will look to limit Sammy Watkins, but even if he's successful in that endeavor, the Chiefs still boast a near-endless array of receiving talent. Travis Kelce, Demarcus Robinson and Mecole Hardman all present daunting assignments.
NFL Betting Trends
The over is 6-0 in the Chiefs’ last six games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
The under is 5-1 in the Lions’ last six games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous contest.
I think this total is a smidge too high. The under is a perfect 6-0 in the Lions’ last six home games, is 8-2 in their last 10 games overall and is 4-0 in their last four games when facing an opponent with a winning record. The Lions have played well defensively in the early going and the Chiefs have shown some improvements on that side of the ball after their defense was a huge liability in 2018. The under is also 35-16 in the Chiefs’ last 51 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. With Patrick Mahomes and Co. on the other side, I’m sure the Lions will try to keep the ball on the ground and keep the clock running, which should limit scoring overall.
NFL Week 4 Prediction: Chiefs/Lions UNDER 55