NFL Week 4 Picks: Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans 10/2/16

Titans vs. Texans Pick

Will the Titans and Texans surprise and play over the total for bettors when the AFC South rivals clash at 1:00PM ET?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Texans are 4.5-point home favorites versus the Titans after opening as a 6.5-point favorite. As for the total, the number currently sits at 40.5 after opening at that same number.

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TENENSSEE: The Titans are coming off their second loss of the season, falling 17-10 as a 1.5-point home underdog last weekend versus the Raiders. Marcus Mariota is 17-of-33 overall for 214 yards and two touchdowns in the loss, while DeMarco Murray rushed 16 times for 114 yards and a touchdown. The Titans continue to struggle to find weapons in the passing game, with newcomer Jace Amaro leading the team with three receptions for 59 yards.

HOUSTON: The Texans lost their first game of the season in a 27-0 defeat at New England last Thursday night. It was also the first time the Texans failed to cover this season after beating the Bears 23-14 as a 5.5-point favorite in Week 1 and the Chiefs 19-12 as a 1-point home underdog in Week 2.  

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OUR PICK: J.J. Watt could be placed on injured reserve this week, which would be a significant blow to the Texans' defense. That unit still boasts Whitney Mercilus and Jadeveon Clowney, but Watt is a difference-maker every week when healthy. Without Watt, look for the Titans to move the ball easier than people expect. The over is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two teams in Houston and 8-3 in the last 11 meetings overall.

 

NFL WEEK 4 PREDICTION: TITANS/TEXANS OVER 40.5