Bucs vs. Rams Total Prediction
After improving to 3-0 on the season with a win last week on the road, the Rams return home Sunday to host the 1-2 Bucs at 4:05 p.m. ET. With the number sitting at 49.5, is the betting total sitting too high for this matchup?
267 Tampa Bay Bucs (+9) at 268 Los Angeles Rams (-9); O/U 49.5
4:05 p.m. ET, Sunday, September 29, 2019
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Rams are receiving 61% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Tampa Bay Bucs Fantasy Spin
Chris Godwin (hip) wasn't spotted at the Buccaneers' Thursday practice. Godwin appears to be shaping up as a true game-time decision after coach Bruce Arians labeled him as day to day. Mike Evans saw 15 targets with Godwin on the field last week, so another massive workload could be on the way if the Bucs' No. 2 WR is ultimately sidelined. Either way, the entire passing game has a rough matchup against the Rams' fifth-ranked defense in pass DVOA. The Rams join the Patriots as the league's only CB units to not have allowed a single TD into their coverage this season (PFF).
Los Angeles Rams Fantasy Spin
Cooper Kupp caught 11-of-12 targets for 102 yards and two touchdowns in the Rams' Week 3 win over the Browns. Kupp caught both of Jared Goff’s touchdowns on throws in the red-zone. He tied Brandin Cooks for the team-lead in targets and finished just behind Cooks in receiving. It's the second straight week Kupp has went over 100 yards. Kupp has looked faster and stronger than he was before his 2018 knee surgery. He should stay hot with a matchup with the Bucs in Week 4.
NFL Betting Trends
The under is 5-1 in the Bucs’ last six games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
The under is 4-0 in the Rams’ last four games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
The Rams’ offense hasn’t fired on all cylinders since late last season. Jared Goff has struggled and when the team has needed a key drive in the second half of games this season, Todd Gurley and the running game has become the focal point. The Bucs do offer Goff a good opportunity to get right this Sunday but ultimately, I don’t see Jamies Winston and Co. scoring enough to contribute to the over. The under is 4-1 in the Rams’ last five games overall and is 5-0 in the Bucs last five games when facing an opponent with a winning record.
NFL Week 4 Prediction: Bucs/Rams UNDER 49.5