Jaguars vs. Broncos Total Prediction
The Jaguars will look to win back-to-back games on Sunday when they visit the winless Broncos at 4:25 p.m. ET. When it comes to the total, is the under the best play for bettors or will their be more offense than oddsmakers expect from the matchup?
273 Jacksonville Jaguars (+3) at 274 Denver Broncos (-3); O/U 38
4:25 p.m. ET, Sunday, September 29, 2019
Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Jaguars are receiving 57% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Jacksonville Jaguars Fantasy Spin
Jalen Ramsey (back) is questionable for the Jaguars' Week 4 matchup against the Broncos. Adam Schefter reported earlier this week that it'd be an upset if Ramsey suits up Sunday. The absence of one of the league's top-two CBs (along with Stephon Gilmore) would certainly be welcomed by Manny Sanders and Courtland Sutton alike. Of course, the ceiling will remain a bit limited for everyone involved in an offense with Joe Flacco under center. The Broncos rank 30th in points per game and are one of just eight offenses to average fewer than six net yards per pass attempt after three weeks.
Denver Broncos Fantasy Spin
Emmanuel Sanders (quad) wasn't listed on the Broncos' final injury report. Sanders was limited in practice this week, but appears to be close to 100% ahead of Sunday's matchup against the Jaguars. His outlook would be significantly better if Jalen Ramsey (back, questionable) is ultimately ruled out. Sanders has been one step ahead of Father Time this season, but this is still a tough matchup with or without Ramsey in one of the week's lowest-implied games.
NFL Betting Trends
The over is 14-6 in the Jaguars’ last 20 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
The under is 5-0-1 in the Broncos’ last six games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous contest.
The under is 5-1 in the Jaguars’ last six games overall, is 4-1 in their last five conference games and has cashed in five of their last seven games coming off a win. On the other side, the under is a perfect 8-0 in the Broncos’ last eight home games, is 4-1 in their last five games played in the month of September and is 19-6-1 in their last 26 games overall. If you trust that Joe Flacco will move the ball consistently enough to score enough points to contribute to the over, be my guest. But I like the under in what should be a defensive struggle.
NFL Week 4 Prediction: Jaguars/Broncos UNDER 38