Broncos vs. Ravens Prediction
Can the Baltimore Ravens defend their home turf this afternoon when they play host to the Denver Broncos at 1PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
469 Denver Broncos at 470 Baltimore Ravens
Sunday, September 23, 2018
1PM ET – M&T Bank Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, the Ravens are favored at home, as they are getting odds of -5.5 points against the Broncos. The over/under total for the game is listed at 45.5 points. The public betting for this game currently has 57 percent on the Broncos on the road. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NFL Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Ravens return home
The Ravens are coming off a 34-23 loss at Cincinnati last week on Thursday Night Football, but they had a dominant win over the Bills at home to open the season. The Ravens are 1-1 against the spread on the season while hitting the over in both games. They are 3-1 against the spread in their last four dating back to the preseason.
Baltimore has traditionally been a great defensive team and they did dominate the Bills in the opener, but struggled to stop Andy Dalton and the Bengals last week. They are giving up 277 yards per game thus far on defense. Offensively, the Ravens passing game has looked stronger than usual, as they are averaging 318 yards per game thus far through the air. Joe Flacco has 612 yards and five touchdowns through the two games, spreading the ball nicely. The Ravens could still use more of a run game, as they are averaging just 91 yards per game on the ground.
Broncos hit the road
The Broncos have found a way to get off to a 2-0 start with a 27-24 win over the Seahawks and a 20-19 win over the Raiders. Those two games were at home and Denver is 0-1-1 against the spread while splitting the over/under total.
Denver is giving up just 21.5 points and 371 yards per game, including just 78 rushing yards per game. Von Miller is dominating once again, racking up four sacks through the first two games. Offensively, the Broncos are moving the ball well and putting up 432.5 yards per game. Their run game has been impactful behind rookies Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman, who have combined for 277 rushing yards. Quarterback Case Keenum has thrown for 551 yards and three touchdowns, but also has four interceptions. Emmanuel Sanders has been his top target with 14 catches for 231 yards.
NFL Betting Trends
The Ravens have covered the spread in four of their last five following a loss and four of their last five against a winning team.
The Broncos are just 1-9 against the spread in their last 10 road games and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 against AFC opponents.
Going on the road for the first time can be an issue, especially when you are going across the country like Denver is. I expect their to be some issues with that on both sides of the ball. Keenum has already been struggling with turnovers as is, and I think the Ravens defense will be able to capitalize on that. Look for Flacco to play well enough to lead his team to a win and cover.
NFL Prediction: Baltimore Ravens -5.5