Broncos vs. Ravens Total Pick
Will two historically strong defensive teams play to a low total when the Baltimore Ravens host the Denver Broncos on Sunday at 1PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Sunday, September 23, 2018
1PM ET – M&T Bank Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, the Ravens are favored at home, as they are getting odds of -5.5 points against the Broncos. The over/under total for the game is listed at 44.5 points. The public betting for this game currently has 54 percent on the Broncos on the road. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NFL Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Broncos off to 2-0 start
The Broncos have found a way to get off to a 2-0 start with a 27-24 win over the Seahawks and a 20-19 win over the Raiders. Those two games were at home and Denver is 0-1-1 against the spread while splitting the over/under total. Denver has hit the over in five of its last seven games.
Denver is giving up just 21.5 points and 371 yards per game, including just 78 rushing yards per game. Von Miller is dominating once again, racking up four sacks through the first two games. Offensively, the Broncos are moving the ball well and putting up 432.5 yards per game. Their run game has been impactful behind rookies Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman, who have combined for 277 rushing yards. Quarterback Case Keenum has thrown for 551 yards and three touchdowns, but also has four interceptions. Emmanuel Sanders has been his top target with 14 catches for 231 yards.
Ravens fall on the road
The Ravens are coming off a 34-23 loss at Cincinnati last week on Thursday Night Football. Baltimore fell to 1-1 in the loss and they are also 1-1 against the spread. The Ravens have hit the over in both games this season.
Baltimore has traditionally been a great defensive team and they did dominate the Bills in the opener, but struggled to stop Andy Dalton and the Bengals last week. Their passing game has looked stronger than usual, as they are averaging 318 yards per game thus far through the air. Joe Flacco has 612 yards and five touchdowns through the two games, spreading the ball nicely. The Ravens could still use more of a run game, as they are averaging just 91 yards per game on the ground.
NFL Betting Trends
Denver has hit the over in seven of its last eight games in September and the Broncos are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games on fieldturf.
Baltimore is 6-1 with the over in its last seven against a team with a winning record and 10-4 with the over in its last 14 games overall.
These two haven’t been quite as dominant on defense as usual, but I think their defenses will shine on Sunday. Both teams have their flaws on offense that I think will be more exposed in this game. The Ravens will need to run and not be able to. Flacco can’t sustain his level of passing. The Broncos will struggle to run with their rookie against the Baltimore defense and Keenum has been turnover prone so far. I like the under to hit in this game.
NFL Prediction: Broncos/Ravens Under 44.5