Bills vs. Vikings Prediction
Will the Minnesota Vikings be able to dominate the Buffalo Bills when the two collide in Week 3 of the NFL season on Sunday at 1PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Sunday, September 23, 2018
1PM ET – U.S. Bank Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, the Vikings are the heavy favorite at home, as they are getting odds of -16.5 points against the Bills. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 40.5 points. The public betting for this game currently has 70 percent going on Minnesota at home. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NFL Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Bills off to awful start
It’s hard to say anyone has looked worse than Buffalo this season as they have lost 47-3 at Baltimore and 31-20 at home against the Chargers. The Bills have failed to cover in both games while hitting the over in both as well.
Buffalo has really struggled on offense this year, averaging just 11.5 points and 255 yards per game. The team gave rookie Josh Allen the start last week. He has thrown for 319 yards through the first two games while completing 50 percent of his passes. He has one touchdown and two interceptions. Buffalo hasn’t had much of a run game. Allen is second on the team in rushing with 58 yards while LeSean McCoy has 61. McCoy is questionable to play on Sunday because of a rib injury. On defense, Buffalo is giving up 39 points and 371 yards per game.
Vikings tie Packers
The Minnesota Vikings are coming off a hard-fought 29-29 tie with the Green Bay Packers last week to start the year at 1-0-1. Minnesota is 1-1 against the spread in the two games thus far while splitting the over/under total.
The Vikings have looked strong on offense with Kirk Cousins under center. Minnesota is averaging 26.5 points and 426.5 yards per game through two games. Cousins has thrown for 669 yards and six touchdowns with just one interceptions. Adam Thielen is the leading receiver with 18 catches for 233 yards and a score. The run game is averaging under 100 yards per game so far as Dalvin Cook has struggled to just 78 yards on 26 carries in his return from his knee injury in 2017. He is questionable for this game because of a hamstring injury. Defensively, Minnesota is allowing 22.5 points and 365 yards per game. They have seven sacks and four forced turnovers so far this year.
NFL Betting Trends
The Bills have failed to covered the spread in five straight games on fieldturf and in 12 of their last 14 games following a double-digit loss at home.
The Vikings are 11-4 against the spread in their last 15 games against a losing team and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
This spread is about as big as I have seen in a NFL game, but I think the Vikings will be able to cover it. Minnesota’s defense will give the Bills all sorts of problems at home. Their pass rush should force Allen into some bad decisions and the Bills won’t be able to run the ball at all. Cousins shouldn’t have any issues throwing on this Buffalo defense and leading Minnesota to a lot of touchdowns.
NFL Prediction: Minnesota Vikings -16.5