Giants vs. Bucs Total Prediction
The Daniel Jones era will begin on Sunday when the rookie leads the Giants into Raymond James Stadium to face the Bucs at 4:05 p.m. ET. Does the matchup have sneaky over potential for bettors?
477 New York Giants (+6.5) at 478 Tampa Bay Bucs (-6.5); O/U 47.5
4:05 p.m. ET, Sunday, September 22, 2019
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Bucs are receiving 51% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
New York Giants Fantasy Spin
Giants WR Sterling Shepard is expected to clear the concussion protocol Thursday. The return of the Giants' No. 1 WR would be much appreciated ahead of their Week 3 matchup against the Buccaneers. Still, it remains unclear what rookie Daniel Jones' pass-game pecking order will look like. Shepard is fully expected to work as the offense's No. 1 WR, but he could still wind up with a fairly mundane target share behind TE Evan Engram and Saquon Barkley. All of the Giants WRs are best approached with extreme caution in this spot.
Tampa Bay Bucs Fantasy Spin
Jameis Winston completed 20-of-36 passes for 194 yards, one touchdown, and three picks in Tampa Bay's Week 1 loss to the 49ers. Atrocious doesn't even begin to cover it as Winston's three ducks (two that were returned for defensive scores) exclude Kwon Alexander's dropped interception in the first half and another that hit a defender directly in the hands inside the two-yard line. Winston's numerous turnovers in camp were attributed to Todd Bowles' defensive scheme, but that clearly wasn't the sole reason after watching his shakiness and inconsistency behind Tampa's o-line Sunday. With a short turnaround scheduled for Thursday night in Carolina, Winston's a (terrifying) QB1 option in 12-team leagues if only for the matchup in what projects as a high-scoring affair. At this rate, it wouldn't be shocking to see him benched by the time the Bucs hit their bye in Week 7.
NFL Betting Trends
The over is 4-0 in the Giants’ last four conference games and is 4-1 in their last five road games.
The under is 7-1 in the Bucs’ last eight games overall and is 6-1 in their last seven home games.
The over is a perfect 4-0 in the last four meetings between these two teams and I see this one on Sunday going over as well. The Giants didn’t magically gain more talent on offense when they switched quarterbacks, but Jones can’t be much worse than Eli. The Bucs played well defensively last week in Carolina but that was also against a banged-up Cam Newton, who was clearly limited. Given how poorly the defenses of these two teams are capable of playing, this one has sneaky over potential.
NFL Week 3 Prediction: Giants/Bucs OVER 47.5