Ravens vs. Chiefs Total Prediction
The game of the week in the NFL is arguably in Kansas City on Sunday where the Chiefs will host the Ravens at 1:00 p.m. ET. With the number currently sitting at 52, is the total too high for this matchup?
465 Baltimore Ravens (+6) at 466 Kansas City Chiefs (-6); O/U 52
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, September 22, 2019
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Chiefs are receiving 51% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Baltimore Ravens Fantasy Spin
Lamar Jackson completed 24-of-37 passes for 272 yards, two touchdowns and zero interceptions in the Ravens' 23-17, Week 2 win over the Cardinals. Jackson converted 16 carries into an additional 120-scoreless yards on the ground. He was unstoppable for the majority of the afternoon, mixing in accurate darts to Mark Andrews and Hollywood Brown with electrifying runs off of read options. The Cardinals defense never had a chance. Jackson has now thrown for more touchdowns in 2019 (seven) than he managed in all of 2018 (six). Fantasy football’s QB1 to this point, Jackson is locked and loaded as a top-three option at the position entering a potential shootout in Week 3 against the Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs Fantasy Spin
LeSean McCoy (ankle) is expected to return to practice Thursday. Meanwhile, Damien Williams (knee) won't practice again Thursday. Shady doesn't appear to be 100%, but he's tentatively expected to suit up Sunday against the Ravens. He'd instantly be in the high-end RB2 discussion if Williams is ultimately sidelined. Rookie RB Darwin Thompson would also likely see a good chunk of snaps as the Chiefs' RB2 if Williams is ruled out.
NFL Betting Trends
The over is 8-3 in the Ravens’ last 11 road games when facing an opponent that has a winning home record.
The over is 4-1 in the Chiefs’ last five games played in the month of September and is 7-3 in their last 10 games overall.
Taking the under in Chiefs games has not been profitable over the past year plus but the under is actually 50-23-1 in Kansas City’s last 74 games played at Arrowhead. Plus, for as good as Patrick Mahomes was in the second quarter last week when the Chiefs scored 28 points, it was the only points the team scored in Oakland. Not having Tyreek Hill hurt KC and losing left tackle Eric Fisher could have a negative impact on Andy Reid’s offense as well. Meanwhile, for as good as Lamar Jackson has been with his arm the past two weeks, the Ravens are still a run-first team that will likely look to play ball-control on Sunday. Thus, I see the final score at Arrowhead falling under this weekend.
NFL Week 3 Prediction: Ravens/Chiefs UNDER 52