NFL Week 1 Predictions: Will Patriots cover spread vs. Chiefs? 9/7/17

Chiefs vs. Patriots Prediction

Will the Patriots cover the spread tonight against the Chiefs when the teams kick off their season at 8:30PM ET?

Game Info

Who: Chiefs (0-0) vs. Patriots (0-0)

When: 8:30PM ET, Thursday, September 7

Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA

The Odds

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Patriots are 8-point home favorites versus the Chiefs while the over/under currently sits at 48 points.

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Line Movement

New England hit the board as a 7-point favorite but the line was bet up to two points. It stayed there for most of the week but has been bet down to 8 as of this writing. The total, meanwhile, opened at 50 but has been bet down two full points to 48.

Public Betting Information

Bettors are backing the defending Super Bowl champion Patriots in this matchup. As of this writing, 65% of public bettors are laying the points on New England.

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OUR PREDICTION: The Chiefs have not fared well against the Patriots in previous meetings between these two teams. Kansas City is just 3-7 agains thte spread in its last 10 games versus New England and just 1-4 against the number in its last five trips to Foxborough. I'm not buying the pre-season narrative that Alex Smith is throwing the ball downfield more in Andy Reid's offense. He is who he is: A risk-adverse, conservative game manager that wins by not turning the ball over. Given how they reshuffled the running back corps, plus the loss of Julian Edelman, the Pats might not come out firing on all cylinders right away. But I do like them to pull away eventually.

 

NFL WEEK 1 PREDICTION: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -8