Titans vs. Browns Over/Under Prediction
The new-look Browns have high expectations this season and their Week 1 matchup with the Titans should set them up for success on Sunday. That said, will both teams rack up enough points to hit the over or is the under the better play for bettors?
465 Tennessee Titans (+5.5) at 466 Cleveland Browns (-5.5); O/U 45.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, September 8, 2019
FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Browns are receiving 60% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Tennessee Titans Fantasy Spin
Derrick Henry (calf) said he's "ready to go" for Week 1 against the Browns. A calf injury cost Henry all of training camp, but he's been practicing the past two weeks and expects to occupy his usual bell-cow role come Week 1. "I'm back to feeling good, being able to practice these last couple weeks," said the former Heisman winner in Monday's interview with Good Morning Football. "It's game week, so I'm ready to go." Henry spent a portion of last year in a timeshare with pass-catcher Dion Lewis before separating himself with a late-season explosion. Tennessee's offense doesn't have much going for it, but the bruising 247-pounder still has enough juice to warrant RB2 usage on a weekly basis.
Cleveland Browns Fantasy Spin
Odell Beckham (hip) still hasn't "opened up yet" while running. "It’s like an extremely fast car with the alignment off," Beckham said Thursday. Yikes. "The car can still go, but it’s dangerous.'' Beckham claims he's getting better, but admits the injury is "something that prevents me from opening up and sprinting." Frankly, that sounds a lot worse than we were expecting. Beckham will be out there against the Titans — he is practicing in full — but it's fair to wonder what his effectiveness might be. Hopefully we get a more encouraging update some time between now and Sunday.
NFL Betting Trends
The over is 4-0 in the Titans’ last four games versus AFC opponents and is 5-1 in their last six games overall.
The under is 3-1-1 in the Browns’ last five games overall and is 19-7-1 in their last 27 home games.
The Titans have three solid corners in Adoree’ Jackson, Malcolm Butler and Logan Ryan, but safety Kevin Byard is one of the better all-around safeties in the league. That gives Tennessee an opportunity to match up with the firepower the Browns now have on offense, including Beckham, Jarvis Landry and young tight end David Njoku. Offensively, Marcus Mariota has yet another new offense to learn with Arthur Smith taking over as coordinator in Tennessee. Mariota is also throwing to new receives A.J. Brown (a second-rounder from Ole Miss) and Adam Humphries, who was signed in free agency. In other words, I don’t expect the continuity to be there offensively for Tennessee and biggest of its talent, Cleveland has an opportunity to have a top-5 defense this year. I just don’t see how these two teams combine to score 46 points in order to cash the over, despite the fact that Baker Mayfield and the Browns are receiving a lot of pre-season hype.
NFL Week 1 Prediction: Titans/Browns UNDER 45.5