Colts vs. Chargers Over/Under Prediction

Indianapolis Colts vs. Los Angeles Chargers, 9/6/19 Week 1 Predictions

The Andrew Luck-less Colts will open their season in L.A. on Sunday when they visit the Chargers at 4:05 p.m. ET. Will Jacoby Brissett provide Indy and bettors with enough offense for this matchup to get over the total this weekend?

Game Snapshot

473 Indianapolis Colts (+6.5) at 474 Los Angeles Chargers (-6.5); O/U 44.5

4:05 p.m. ET, Sunday, September 8, 2019

Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson, CA

Public Betting Trends

According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Chargers are receiving 71% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.

Indianapolis Colts Fantasy Spin

Colts agreed to terms with Jacoby Brissett on a new two-year, $30 million contract. The extension includes $20 million guaranteed at signing after the sides agreed to rip up the final year of Brissett's old deal. It's a nice payday for the Colts' starting quarterback. Brissett completed fewer than 60 percent of his passes and averaged just 6.6 yards per attempt as the team's starter in 2017, but this year's team boasts a vastly improved offensive line with several more competent playmakers at wide receiver, tight end and running back.

Los Angeles Chargers Fantasy Spin

Coach Anthony Lynn said that he plans to continue to utilize multiple running backs ahead of the Chargers' Week 1 matchup against the Colts. Specifically, Lynn noted that, "I've always used those guys as a tandem, that's not going to change." ESPN's Eric Williams reported earlier in August that the Chargers are expected to use a 50/50 split in their backfield, although their preseason usage with the first-team offense suggested we could see something closer to a 60/40 split in favor of Austin Ekeler. This arrangement makes the most sense, as Ekeler is a more-established receiving threat than Justin Jackson at this point in their careers. Ekeler is set up well this week to rack up underneath targets behind the Chargers' banged-up offensive line against a Colts defense that utilized zone coverage at a league-high rate in 2018.

NFL Betting Trends

Indianapolis

The under is 6-1 in the Colts’ last seven games versus AFC opponents and is 4-1 in their last five road games.

Los Angeles

The over is 4-0 in the Chargers’ last four games played in the month of September but the under is 5-1 in their last six home games.

Prediction

In the last four meetings between these two teams, the under is 4-0-1. The under is also 4-0 the last four times the Chargers have hosted the Colts. Brissett isn’t a young QB. He’s 27 and spent his first NFL season learning the Patriots’ offense while studying Tom Brady. He’s not going to crater the offense but at the same time, this L.A. defense is stout and owns one of the nastiest pass-rushes in the NFL. Losing Derwin James to injury was a big blow, but the Bolts should be able to handle T.Y. Hilton and Co. on Sunday. Meanwhile, the Chargers will start the season without holdout Melvin Gordon and while they still have Philip Rivers and Keenan Allen, the Colts’ still boast one of the more underrated defenses in the league (one that should only continue to improve). I see a relatively low-scoring game this weekend in Carson.

NFL Week 1 Prediction: Colts/Chargers UNDER 44.5

Recent NFL Discussions

MLB NBA GOLF FOR WED TUES GOOD on Wed, Aug 2020 by Timmy1961
MLS on Tue, Aug 2020 by Surfer
MLB NBA FOR MONDAY SUN NOTES ZERO, NO GOOD on Mon, Aug 2020 by Timmy1961
Loading...

NFL Predictions & Picks

Thumbnail What Can the NFL Learn From NHL, NBA? The professional sports leagues, like everyone, have been battling to decide how to proceed with their seasons. While it initially seemed like everything would just...
Thumbnail Five Teams in Position to Sign Kaepernick It is increasingly looking more likely that Colin Kaepernick will return to the NFL. The reality is that the former San Francisco 49ers quarterback and one time...
Thumbnail Will Love Selection Spur Rodgers in GB? The Green Bay Packers dropped a huge hint over the future of quarterback Aaron Rodgers by picking Jordan Love in the 2020 Draft. The 36-year-old has been...

NFL Headlines