Bills' 2021 Super Bowl Odds on Upswing

Vikings Trade Stefon Diggs to Bills, 3/17/20 Did Bills’ SB Odds Improve?

In a flurry of NFL moves on Monday, one trade that occurred was between the Vikings and Bills, the latter of which acquired receiver Stefon Diggs in exchange for four picks. How did that trade impact both teams’ Super Bowl odds?

What did each team receive in the deal?

According to Jay Glazer of FOX Sports, the Bills acquired Diggs and a 2020 seventh-round pick from the Vikings in exchange for 2020 first, fifth and sixth-round picks, as well as a 2021 fourth-round selection. Bill O’Brien of the Texans only received running back David Johnson, a 2020 second-round pick and a 2021 fourth-round selection in exchange for DeAndre Hopkins, so the Vikings did quite well for Diggs.

Why did the Vikings trade Diggs?

Diggs grew frustrated on more than one occasion last season in Minnesota, including in the Wild Card round of the NFL playoffs when the Vikings upset the Saints in New Orleans. He still broke out for several 100-yard games in the middle of the season, but caught only four passes for 76 yards and a touchdown in two postseason games. Whether Diggs was frustrated with quarterback Kirk Cousins, coach Mike Zimmer, former offensive coordinator Kevin Stefanski or having to share targets with fellow wideout Adam Thielen is not known. Regardless, Diggs didn’t seem to be on the same page with the Vikings.

Is he a fit in Buffalo?

There was a clear need for a true No. 1 wideout in Buffalo, even though Cole Beasley was one of the most underrated free agent signings a year ago. Beasley is a solid possession receiver and John Brown is the deep threat in the Bills’ offense, but there’s more than enough room for a player of Diggs’ skillset. Whether or not Diggs will grow frustrated with young quarterback Josh Allen is another question. Allen showed improvements in his second season a year ago, but his accuracy remains an issue.

How much did the Vikings and Bills’ Super Bowl odds change?

Our NFL Future Odds page shows that the Vikings opened with 30/1 odds to win the 2021 Super Bowl before those odds dropped to 40/1 before the trade. According to oddsmakers from online sportsbook Sportsbook.com, Minnesota is still 40/1 to win Super Bowl LV, so the Vikings’ odds remain unchanged despite losing Diggs.

As for the Bills, they opened with 40/1 odds to win the Super Bowl and before the trade, those odds dropped to 35/1. After landing Diggs, Sportsbook.com now shows Buffalo’s Super Bowl LV odds at 30/1.

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