Renegades vs. Dragons XFL Prediction
Two teams that picked up their first XFL wins a week ago will meet in Seattle on Saturday evening when the Dragons host the Dallas Renegades at 5:00 p.m. ET. With the Renegades laying four points on the road and the total sitting at 42.5, where’s the best value for bettors?
419 Dallas Renegades (-4) at Seattle Dragons (+4); o/u 42.5
5:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, February 22, 2020
CenturyLink Field, Seattle, WA
The Renegades are currently 4-point road favorites to beat the Dragons while the total currently sits at 42.5 points. Dallas is also a -185 money line favorite to beat Seattle, which is +165 on the money line to pull off the upset at home.
The Renegades rebounded from their 15-9 loss to the St. Louis Battlehawks in Week 1 by edging the L.A. Wildcats 25-18 last Sunday afternoon. Former Auburn and Carolina Panthers running back Cameron Artis-Payne rushed 14 times for 99 yards and two touchdowns in the win over L.A., while quarterback Landry Jones struggled a bit in his debut, completing 28-of-40 passes for 305 yards with one touchdown and two picks.
The Dragons were excellent defensively last week in their win over the Vipers, holding Tampa Bay to just 289 net yards. They also intercepted three passes, although it’s important to note that starting quarterback Aaron Murray missed the game for Tampa due to a foot injury. Offensively. Seattle QB Brandon Silvers struggled, completing just 7-of-18 passes for 91 yards, with one touchdown and one interception. Former Navy signal-caller Keenan Reynolds did stand out, however, catching three passes (on eight targets) for 87 yards and a touchdown.
Based on these teams’ play over the first two weeks, I’m having a difficult time envisioning how this game goes over the total. In their 31-19 loss to the D.C. Defenders in Week 1, the Dragons threw for 5.3 yards per pass attempt. Despite winning last week, that number dropped in Week 2, as Seattle posted a 5.1 YPA.
Despite having former Oklahoma head coach Bob Stoops and one of the founding creators of the air raid offense, Hal Mumme, as offensive coordinator, Dallas hasn’t exactly been tearing up the stat sheet either. Granted, the Renegades played without Landry in Week 1, but the offense was nevertheless stagnant versus St. Louis’ defense and last week with Landry under center, Dallas gained only a modest 7.6 YPA.
With Landy operating the offense for a second straight week, perhaps the Renegades will generate some offense today in Seattle but it’s hard to count on much offensively from the Dragons.
XFL Week 3 Prediction: Dallas/Seattle UNDER 42.5