Super Bowl LI Betting Preview – Atlanta Falcons vs. New England Patriots

Super Bowl Betting Preview

The New England Patriots look to win a fifth Super Bowl when it faces the Atlanta Falcons tonight at 6:30PM ET on FOX. Here’s a breakdown of the odds for today’s game.

According to the oddsmakers at BetDSI, New England is favored to win today’s game, as the Patriots are getting odds of -3 points against the Falcons. The over/under total for the game is listed at 58 points. The odds haven’t changed since the Patriots opened as a favorite following the NFL Championship Games. The public also likes the Patriots today, as New England is getting 65 percent of the wagers. New England has won and covered the spread in four straight meetings with the Falcons, but the two haven’t played since 2013.

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The Patriots seek their fifth Super Bowl win in the Bill Belichick era. With the two playoff wins, New England is 16-2 overall and 15-3 against the spread. The Pats actually haven’t lost away from home this season and they have covered in seven straight games. The Patriots have a great offense, but their defense has really been special this year. They are allowing just 15.7 points and 327.4 yards per game. They have held their last five opponents to 17 points or less. During the season, New England had 34 sacks while creating 23 turnovers. They have three sacks and five turnovers in the postseason. On offense, New England puts up 28.4 points and 388.2 yards per game. Tom Brady continues to shine, throwing for 3,554 yards and 28 touchdowns with just two interceptions over his 12 regular-season games. In the postseason, he has thrown for 671 yards with five scores and two INTs. Chris Hogan has emerged as a big-play threat for the offense. He has 13 receptions for 275yards and two scores in the playoffs. Brady has seen his run game improve this year. The Pats ran for 1,872 yards as a team during the season with LeGarrette Blount putting up 1,161 yards and 18 touchdowns. However, during the playoffs, the team has just 155 total rushing yards.

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As great as New England has been, the Falcons are awfully hot coming into the Super Bowl as well. They have won their last six games to get to 13-5 overall and they are 12-6 against the spread. They bring the league’s top offense into today’s game. Atlanta averages 34.4 points and 420.4 yards per game on offense. The Falcons have scored at least 33 in six straight and have posted at least 40 in three of their last six. Matt Ryan won the MVP honor by throwing for 4,944 yards and 38 touchdowns with only seven interceptions. That has continued in the playoffs, as he has thrown for 730 yards and seven scores without an INT. Julio Jones continues to be a dominant receiver for him as well. Jones had 1,409 yards and six touchdowns during the regular season and has 15 catches for 247 yards and three touchdowns in the playoffs. Atlanta also has a dynamic running duo in the backfield in Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman. They combined for over 1,600 rushing yards with 19 touchdowns and nearly 900 receiving yards with five scores during the regular season. In the playoffs they have run for 173 rushing yards and 179 receiving yards. They also have a combined four touchdowns. The Atlanta defense is giving up 24.8 points and 367.5 yards per game this season, but Atlanta has been showing improvement in the second half of the year. They created 22 turnovers during the regular season and had 34 sacks, including a league-best 15.5 from Vic Beasley. In two playoff games, Atlanta has five sacks and has forced four turnovers.