Tom Brady Prop Bets Predictions

Tom Brady Super Bowl Prop Bets Predictions: Eagles vs. Patriots 2/4/18

Is Tom Brady good for a couple of touchdown passes against the Eagles tonight when the Patriots take on Philly in Super Bowl 52?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book YouWager, the Patriots are now 4.5-point favorites to beat the Eagles after opening as a 6-point Super Bowl favorite. As for the total, the number hit the board at 47.5 or 48 but is now up to 48.5 at most online and Vegas sports books.

As of this writing, 53% of the betting tickets that have been wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Eagles to cover the point spread as an underdog. Public bettors also like the over, as 58% of the betting tickets wagered online is on the over.

Bet Patriots vs. Eagles Super Bowl LII

Rule No. 1 when it comes to betting on Super Bowl propositions: Oddsmakers will inflate the numbers because they know public bettors have a habit of saying "yes" when it comes to prop odds. For example: Will Tom Brady complete at least 28 passes tonight in the Super Bowl? 'I'm not betting against Tom!' says a novice bettor.

Look, Brady could very well complete 40 passes tonight. I wouldn't put it past him. And if he does complete 35-of-50 pass attempts for 400 yards and four touchdowns, then a lot of "Joe Public" bettors are going to have a great night celebrating.

That said, the true value is in the under when it comes to Brady's prop bets. Philadelphia owns one of the league's best defenses this season and while Brady will certainly put up good numbers, there's no reason to pay an inflated price at the betting window. Thus, I'm taking the under on his completions, pass attempts and passing yards. If he burns me, he burns me, but again, there's value in the under.

The only prop bet I'm taking to go over his 1.5 for touchdowns thrown. He's thrown at least two touchdowns in every game since Week 16.

Tom Brady Total Completions: Under 27.5

Tom Brady Total Pass Attempts: Under 41

Tom Brady Total Passing Yards: Under 298.5

Tom Brady Total Touchdown Passes Thrown: Over 1.5


NFL Predictions & Picks

Thumbnail Rams look to return to Super Bowl The Los Angeles Rams had a fantastic 2018 campaign and capped it off with a trip to the Super Bowl, where they lost to the New England Patriots. Is Los Angeles a...
Thumbnail Will Murray win Offensive Rookie of the Year honors? Kyler Murray is full of potential as the No. 1 overall pick of the 2019 NFL Draft by the Arizona Cardinals. Will Murray take the NFL by storm in...
Thumbnail Latest Super Bowl Odds With the 2019 NFL Draft in the books, how are oddsmakers adjusting their expectations for the Super Bowl LIV winner?
Thumbnail How many trades in tonight's Draft? The first round of the NFL Draft often features a lot of wheeling and dealing throughout the night. How many trades can we expect to see in the first round...
Thumbnail Who will the Giants take at 6? Of all of the teams in the NFL Draft tonight, the focus seems to be heavily on what the New York Giants are going to do at No. 6. Here’s a look at the odds for who New York...

NFL Headlines