Dion Lewis SB51 Prop Odds & Picks
How many rushing yards will Patriots running back Dion Lewis gain when he and New England face off against the Falcons in Super Bowl 51 on Sunday?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Patriots are 3-point favorites versus the Falcons while the over/under for Sunday's game is sitting at 58.5 points. There's been virtually zero line movement for either the spread and the total this week.
As for Lewis, Bovada.lv lists the over/under for number of rushing yards that Lewis will gain at 42.5. The over/under for number of rushing attempts for Lewis is also sitting at 9.5 while the o/u for total receiving yards is 24.5 and total reception is o/u 2.5. Will Lewis score a touchdown? The odds are currently sitting at 17/10 for and 10/21 against.
There are also odds on what Lewis will do on his first rushing and reception attempts. For example, the over/under for how many yards he'll gain on his first rushing attempt is sitting at 3.5. The over/under on how many total receiving yards that he'll have on his first reception is 7.5 and the over/under on his longest rush from scrimmage is sitting at 13.5 yards. He also has an over/under of 13.5 for the longest reception of the game.
OUR PREDICTION: Lewis finished with 9.14 attempts per game during the regular season and averaged 40.43 yards per game over a seven-game stretch. We project that he'll finish with right around 50 yards on 10 carries and thus, we'd take the over 9.5 for number of rushing attempts and the over 42.5 for number of rushing yards. We'd also take the over 2.5 for number of total receptions but the under 24.5 for number of receiving yards.