Torrey Smith Prop Bets Predictions
How many receptions and receiving yards will Eagles receiver Torrey Smith produce when Philadelphia takes on the Patriots in Super Bowl 52?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book YouWager, the Patriots are 4.5-point favorites to beat the Eagles in Super Bowl LII. New England opened as a 6-point favorite at most online sportsbooks but the number has dropped steadily since. As for the total, the number hit the board at 47.5, went up to 48, but is back down to 47.5 at some books.
Despite being the underdog, the Eagles are receiving the majority of the backing from the public. As of Thursday morning, 55% of betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Eagles to cover the spread. Meanwhile, 61% of the betting tickets are on the over.
Torrey Smith Total Receptions: Under 2.5
This postseason, Smith has caught eight passes on 12 targets and is coming off the NFC title game where he racked up five catches for 69 yards and a touchdown. I'm going to fade Smith being able to match that production. In his last three regular season games, he caught three passes on 11 targets for just 22 yards and no touchdowns. He has been stellar in the postseason but New England has a pair of excellent corners that won't allow Smith to rack up a ton of production. I could see Smith catching a couple of passes but otherwise is left off the stat sheet.
Torrey Smith Total Receiving Yards: Under 32.5
I think this number is inflated after Smith racked up 39 yards receiving against the Falcons and 69 yards receiving versus the Vikings. Forty-one of those 69 yards against Minnesota came on one play. Smith is the vertical threat in Philly's offense and I just don't see him catching more than one deep pass come Sunday.
Torrey Smith Longest Reception: Over 17.5
This is the only spot I like the over when it comes to Smith's prop bets. The reason? Because of what I mentioned above: He is the deep option in Doug Pederson's offense. If anyone is going to catch a pass of 20 yards or more in this offense, it would be Smith because most of his routes are vertical by nature. So while I don't think Smith will tear up the stat sheet in Super Bowl LII, this is a good spot to take the over.