Steelers vs. Chiefs Wildcard Prediction
The most lopsided matchup Wild Card Weekend is in Kansas City, MO where the Chiefs will host the Steelers at 8:15 p.m. ET on Sunday night. Is 12.5 too much to lay with the host Chiefs?
149 Pittsburgh Steelers (+12.5) at 150 Kansas City Chiefs (-12.5); o/u 46
8:15 p.m. ET, Sunday, January 16, 2022
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Pittsburgh Steelers DFS Spin
Steelers activated WR JuJu Smith-Schuster (shoulder) from injured reserve. Smith-Schuster will play in Sunday's Wild Card game against the Chiefs. The Steelers didn't clear Smith-Schuster to practice until this week, making in unlikely he sees a full-time role coming off a three-month absence. The 25-year-old gives the Steelers an upgrade as the No. 3 receiver behind Chase Claypool and Diontae Johnson, but shouldn't cut into their target shares.
Kansas City Chiefs DFS Spin
Tyreek Hill (heel) is expected to play in the Wild Card round against the Steelers. Hill practiced on Friday and Andy Reid told reporters that the plan was for Hill to play "unless something happens." Despite Reid's ominous framing there appears to be a high probability of Hill suiting up on Sunday. Hill could see more limited snaps than usual, but he will see targets at a very high rate whenever he is on the field. Hill has a lower floor than usual but remains an elite ceiling play in the Wild Card round.
NFL Wild Card Weekend Betting Prediction
The Steelers are just 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games at Arrowhead Stadium, are 2-6-2 against the number in their last 10 playoff games and are 1-3-1 at the betting window in their last five Wildcard games. The Chiefs, meanwhile, are 4-0 against the spread in their last four games as a home favorite, are 6-1 against the number in their last seven games following a win and are 4-1 at the betting window in their last five playoff home games.
NFL WILD CARD WEEKEND BETTING PREDICTIONS: KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -12.5