Eagles vs. Saints Total Prediction
Nick Foles and the Eagles pulled off yet another postseason upset last week when they sent the Bears into their offseason in Wild Card Weekend. After playing a low-scoring game in Chicago, will the Eagles and Saints turn Sunday afternoon’s Divisional round matchup into a shootout?
307 Philadelphia Eagles at 308 New Orleans Saints
4:40 p.m. ET, Sunday, January 13, 2019
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Saints are 8-point favorites to beat the Eagles. The total, meanwhile, sits at 51 points. As of this writing, 62% of the public betting tickets are on the Eagles to cover the point spread.
Golden Tate (knee) was limited at Wednesday's practice. There's no concern over Tate's status for Sunday's Divisional Round game in New Orleans. Tate came through in the clutch last week, supplying the go-ahead touchdown in a come-from-behind win at Chicago. He went for 48 yards on five catches when he faced the Saints in Week 11.
New Orleans Saints
Saints LT Terron Armstead (shoulder) was limited at Wednesday's practice. It's a good sign for Armstead, who has sat out six of the last seven games due to a shoulder injury. Armstead returned from a five-game absence in Week 16 but aggravated his injury and didn't play the second half in a win over Pittsburgh. The six-year vet was recently selected to the All-Pro team while also earning Pro Bowl status for the first time.
NFL Betting Trends
The over is 36-16 in the Eagles’ last 52 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
The under is 5-1 in the Saints’ last six games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
If there’s only one over that cashes in the Divisional round I’m betting it’s in this matchup. The Eagles won’t be able to run the ball against New Orleans’ stout run defense, which leads to the ball being in the hands of Foles. That can be good and bad, as we’ve witnessed over the last two years. He’s not afraid to take shots downfield, which leads to chunk yards, penalties or quick scores but he’ll also turn the ball over. While turnovers can also halt scoring drives, like it did last week when Foles threw a horrendous interception in the end zone, they can also set up quick scores for opponents.
On the other side, the Saints are a different offense at home compared to on the road. It has been that way since Sean Payton took over. They average 400.8 yards per game at home compared to 357.6 on the road. They’re also averaging 34.1 points per game at the Superdome compared to 28.9 away from their home turf. It’s not that they’re a bad offense away from New Orleans, it’s just that they’re unstoppable at home, as the Eagles found out back in November when the Saints throttled them, 48-7. Somehow that game stayed under the 56.5-point total that day but I see these two teams getting over the number this Sunday.
NFL Divisional Round Predictions: Eagles/Saints over 51