NBA Predictions: Are Rockets laying too many points vs. Thunder? 3/6/18

Rockets vs. Thunder Prediction

Are the Houston Rockets laying too many points on the road to the Oklahoma City Thunder tonight?

Game Snapshot

(507) Houston Rockets at (508) Oklahoma City Thunder

Tuesday, March 6, 2018 at 8:00 p.m. ET

CURRENT ODDS

According to oddsmakers from online sportsbook YouWager, the Rockets are 4.5-point road favorites to beat the Thunder while the over/under for tonight's game sits at 222.5 points.

Bet This Matchup & Other NBA Games

LINE MOVEMENT

The Rockets opened as 4-point road favorites in this matchup but the line has climbed to 4.5 at the majority of online sportsbooks. As for the total, it opened at 222.5 and that's where the number currently sits.

PUBLIC BETTING

As of this writing, 74% of betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Rockets to cover the point spread tonight. Meanwhile, 65% of betting tickets are on the over.

KEY INJURY TO WATCH

Andre Roberson is out for the year for the Thunder while Ryan Anderson is out with a hip injury for Houston.

BETTING STRATEGY

The Thunder have been a mess without Roberson and have been a horrible bet of late. They're 1-5 against the spread in their last six games overall, are 1-4 against the number in their last five Western Conference matchups, and have failed to cover in six of their last seven games when facing a team with a winning record. On the other side, the Rockets have covered seven of their last eight games in Oklahoma City and are 12-4 at the betting window in their last 16 games versus the Thunder overall. They're also 4-1 ATS in their last five games, are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games, and are 13-3 against the number in their last 16 games when facing opponents from the Northwest Division.

 

OUR PREDICTION: HOUSTON ROCKETS -4.5