Heat vs. Rockets Prediction

Are Rockets laying too many points vs. Heat at betting window? 2/15/17

Are the Rockets laying too many points tonight against the Heat at 8:00PM ET?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Rockets are 9.5-point home favorites versus the Heat while the over/under is currently sitting at 222.5 points. While the spread hasn't shifted, the total has gone from 222 up to 222.5.

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MIAMI KEY TRENDS: The Heat are 5-1 against the spread in their last six road games and are 13-3-1 against the number in their last 17 games overall. They're also 10-1-1 at the betting window in their last 12 games playing on one day of rest and are 10-2-1 against the spread in their last 13 games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.

HOUSTON KEY TRENDS: The Rockets have failed to cover in seven of their last 10 games coming off a win and are just 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games after covering in their previous contest. They're also just 2-6 at the betting window in their last eight games versus Eastern Conference opponents.

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OUR PREDICTION: The Heat are winless at 0-4 against the spread in their last four games in Houston while the home team is 4-0 against the number in the last four meetings and the favorite has cashed in five of their last seven meetings overall. The trends above don't paint the Rockets in a good light but they're 6-1 against the spread in their last seven home games versus an opponent with a winning road record of less than .400. Houston has also covered in four of its last five home games versus an opponent with a losing road record.

 

WEDNESDAY NBA PREDICTION: HOUSTON ROCKETS -9.5

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