Pick Wiz Plays for 12/5

First I want to congratulate Tough-Guy-Tiny-Timmy1961 on his rather impressive 3-13 NFL Sunday; or as best I can tell it was around 3-13 because he doesn't put numbers up with his advised picks, making tracking his success (or failure) rate conveniently difficult to do. It's a good thing you only post picks online and don't actually play them, otherwise you'd be having to meet your book for a costly appointment today! Looking over this jokers picks is like watching a TV with snow on it... it's all just noise. My advice to readers... fade the clown or just skip over his two cents because it's only worth one. But that's just my humble opinion. How BTW Tiny do you go from one day threatening to 'beat me up in the back woods' to being a God faring man gushing online over having volunteered for kids with twinkles in their eyes with your chubby wife and bifocal wearing kids? That Dr. you went to last week who kicked you down the Seroquel needs a high five. It's working WONDERS for you, bro! Keep up on the daily dose and I'm sure things will keep working themselves out.

My results yesterday's were 4-6 posting a $581 loss. With a little help from Cousins' in the Washington game as opposed to lofting one behind the shoulder of a wide open receiver in the final minutes/drive, it could have been a 7-3 day for another profit of over 5k. It was close.... but close only counts in horse shoes and hand grenades. Right, Tiny?

Last weeks final results:

19-8 +10,092 (crushing it on the hardwood with 8-2!)

Onto this weeks profits....

Memphis vs New Orleans -5.5

We'll continue to ride the Grizzly train. The Griz will look to repeat their 89-83 home victory over the Pelicans earlier this year. They'll have to do it without PG Michael Conley who they lost to a fractured back for the next 6--8 weeks and Z-Bo who has left the team to deal with the unfortunate passing of his mother. Why play a road dog with so many of their key players missing? Because they're playing an under achieving 7-14 Pelican's team andI expect more inspired ball that lead them to a road victory over the Lakers last night, who is a better team than NO in my opinion. Small play on Memphis.

Trends:

Memphis

Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference

New Orleans

Pelicans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest

KEVIN'S PICK: GRIZ +5.5
AMNT: 550/500

Indianapolis vs New York +1 / 48.5

The Jets sport the fourth rated run defense in the league allowing 85 yards a game but their pass D is in the bottom tier of the league ranking 26th; which ironically is where the Colt's rushing game rates. Don't expect the Colts/Luck to play into the strengths of the Jets by running the ball. Averaging 352 yards in the air, this is how they'll put up their points tonight. While the Colts D is just as bad as the Jets ability to score, I just don't expect Fitpatrick's 57% pass completion and negative TD to INT ratio to be enough to hang up enough points to keep up with Luck's air attack tonight. I expect the Jets to put Forte to work tonight and run more often than they throw given the Colts allow almost 120 yards a game on the ground. Thus... running the clock. With the Colts averaging 24 points per game and the Jets only 17... I think the total is oddly high. Plus it's going to be colder than a witches tit out there tonight.

Indianapolis is:

4-1 Under last 5 on turf
21-5 Under last 26 following a DD loss at home

NY Jets are:

4-0 Under last 4 in Week 13
4-0 Under last 4 Monday games
8-3 Under last 11 in December

KEVIN'S PICK: Colts -1 and Under 48.5
AMNT: 1100/1000 on side and 550/500 on total

BOL - even to you TGTT1961