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NCAAF Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Week 11

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(@shazman)
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Tuesday 11/10/20 thread for handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL & NCAAF games

 
Posted : November 10, 2020 12:21 pm
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This report will update....

125FLA ATLANTIC -126 FLA INTERNATIONAL
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games after being outrushed by 150 or more yards last game since 1992.

127IOWA -128 MINNESOTA
IOWA is 27-8 ATS (18.2 Units) versus excellent rushing teams - averaging >=230 rushing yards/game since 1992.

129E CAROLINA -130 CINCINNATI
E CAROLINA is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games after gaining 325 or more passing yards in 2 straight games since 1992.

135MEMPHIS -136 NAVY
NAVY is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 2 seasons.

 
Posted : November 10, 2020 12:22 pm
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This report will update....

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11

Tuesday’s games
Akron (0-1) @ Ohio U (0-1)
— Zips lost their home opener 58-13 to Western Michigan LW.
— Akron has 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Zips have 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Akron has a senior QB with 27 career starts.
— Since 2014, Zips are 7-10 ATS as a road underdog.

— Ohio lost its opener 30-27 at Central Michigan LW.
— CMU had 184 yards rushing, outgained Ohio 427-345.
— Ohio has 7 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Bobcats have 52 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Ohio has a new QB this year.
— Since 2016, Bobcats are 9-13 ATS as a home favorite.

— Ohio won 11 of its last 12 games with Akron.
— Underdogs covered five of last six series games.
— Zips lost their last seven visits to Athens, but covered last two.

Kent State (1-0) @ Bowling Green (0-1)
— Kent won its home opener 27-23 over Eastern Michigan, running ball for 212 yards.
— Kent has 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Golden Flashes has 74 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Kent has a senior QB with 13 career starts.
— Since 2011, Golden Flashes are 7-2 ATS as a road favorite.

— Bowling Green lost its opener 38-3 at Toledo last week.
— Falcons gave up 310 YR, were outgained 524-267 by Toledo.
— Bowling Green has 6 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Falcons have 32 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Bowling Green has a new QB this year- he completed 8-30 passes last week.
— Last three years, Falcons are 2-10 ATS as a home underdog.

— Kent beat BG the last two years, 35-28/62-20; Golden Flashes ran the ball for 375 yards, threw it for 375 more in LY’s rout.
— Underdogs covered four of last five series games played here.

Miami OH (1-0) @ Buffalo (1-0)
— Miami won its home opener 38-31 over Ball State LW; they were down 21-10 in 3rd quarter.
— Red Hawks scored winning TD with 0:10 left, after Ball State tied game with 1:08 left.
— Miami has 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Redhawks have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Miami has a soph QB with 15 career starts.
— Last three years, Miami is 6-9 ATS as a road underdog.

— Buffalo won its opener 49-30 at Northern Illinois LW.
— Bulls were outgained 397-357 but were +3 in turnovers.
— Buffalo has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Bulls have 82 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Buffalo has a soph QB with six career starts.
— Bulls are 9-3-1 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.

— Miami won three of its last four games with Buffalo; they upset the Bulls 34-20 LY, despite being outgained 398-265. Miami was +4 in turnovers.
— Red Hawks lost three of last four visits to western NY.

Wednesday’s games
Central Michigan (1-0) @ Northern Illinois (0-1)
— Chippewas won their home opener, LW 30-27 over Ohio U.
— CMU has 6 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Chippewas have 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
— CMU has a new QB this year; he was 27-41/243 last week.
— Since 2012, Chippewas are 12-3 ATS as a road underdog.

— NIU lost its home opener 49-30 to Buffalo LW; they were -3 in turnovers.
— Huskies outgained Buffalo 397-357 but were -3 in turnovers.
— NIU has 6 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Huskies have 41 returning starts on the offensive line.
— NIU has a senior QB with 22 career starts.
— Since 2017, Huskies are 2-1-1 ATS as a home underdog.

— Underdogs covered five of last six series games, with four outright upsets.
— CMU split its last six visits to DeKalb.

Eastern Michigan (0-1) @ Ball State (0-1)
— Eastern Michigan lost 27-23 at Kent State LW, giving up 212 YR.
— EMU has 5 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Eagles have 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
— EMU will be using a new QB this season; he was 21-35/241 LW.
— Eagles are 17-3 ATS in last 20 games as a road underdog.

— Ball State lost 38-31 at Miami LW, despite throwing for 309 yards.
— Ball State has 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Cardinals have 79 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Ball State has a senior QB with 19 starts.
— Since 2014, Cardinals are 7-14 ATS as a home favorite.

— EMU won three of its last four games with Ball State.
— Eagles won 42-20/48-41 in their last two visits to Muncie.

Toledo (1-0) @ Western Michigan (1-0)
— Toledo whacked Bowling Green in its home opener, running ball for 310 yards.
— Toledo has 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Rockets have 73 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Toledo has a soph QB with 3 career starts.
— Last three years, Rockets are 1-7 ATS as a road underdog.

— Western Michigan whacked Akron 58-13 in its opener LW.
— WMU has 5 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Broncos have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
— WMU has a soph QB with five starts.
— Broncos are 12-9 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite.

— Toledo won its last three games with WMU, scoring 39.7 ppg.
— Rockets won four of last five visits to Kalamazoo (underdogs 4-1 ATS).

 
Posted : November 10, 2020 12:22 pm
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College Football Odds Week 11: Opening lines and sharp money
Patrick Everson

Quarterback Kyle Trask and Florida hope to avoid a flat spot this week against Arkansas, after a big win over Georgia. PointsBet USA opened the Gators -16.5 and moved to -17.5 Monday.

College football odds for Week 11 are on the betting board and getting action, though the schedule is a bit lackluster. No. 5 Florida, which just rolled over Georgia, plays host to Arkansas, while the Alabama-LSU game could be impacted by COVID.

FanDuel and PointsBet USA provided insights on college football Week 11 opening lines, early line movement, sharp money and public betting for this week's matchups.

These are the current College football Week 11 odds for the premier games on the schedule, as of November 9.

Arkansas at (5) Florida odds
Opening line
Florida -16.5, Over/Under 60.5

Why the line moved
Florida, coming off a big win over Georgia, jumped a point to -17.5 early Monday afternoon at PointsBet USA. "It's very lopsided toward Florida," PointsBet's Patrick Eichner said of early ticket count and money on the spread. The total is already up two points to 62.5.

(6) Texas A&M at Tennessee odds
Opening line
Tennessee +13, Over/Under 54

Why the line moved
This line saw significant early movement at PointsBet USA, from Texas A&M -13 to -8 by Monday afternoon, though A&M is taking the bulk of light early action. "Tickets and money about a 65/35 split toward the Aggies," PointsBet's Eichner said. The total also fell a notch from 54 to 53, likely due to Tennessee's uncertainty at quarterback, with starter Jarrett Guarantano suffering an apparent concussion in Saturday's loss at Arkansas.

(2) Notre Dame at Boston College Odds
Opening line
Boston College +13.5, Over/Under 50.5

Why the line moved

The Fighting Irish dipped to -12.5 shortly after FanDuel opened this game Sunday and stayed there until Monday afternoon, before returning to -13.5. Notre Dame is drawing 55 percent of early tickets, but 70 percent of early dollars are on underdog Boston College. The total fell from 50.5 to 48.5 Monday, with 77 percent of bets on the Over, but 90 percent of early cash on the Under.

(9) Miami at Virginia Tech odds
Opening line
Virginia Tech -1.5, Over/Under 62.5

Why the line moved
Miami is 6-1 SU but a road underdog against Virginia Tech. In fact, the first move at FanDuel was toward the Hokies, from -1.5 to -2.5, then back to -1.5 Monday afternoon. Tickets are running about 4/1 and money 2/1 on the Hurricanes. The total shot from 62.5 to 66.5, with 88 percent of bets and 82 percent of money on the Over.

(3) Ohio State at Maryland Odds
Opening line
Maryland +26.5, Over/Under 71.5

Why the line moved
Maryland is coming off a stunning rout of Penn State, but the Terrapins are still hefty underdogs against Ohio State at FanDuel. However, this line tightened a couple of points Monday to Buckeyes -24.5, with tickets 3/1 and money almost 2/1 on Maryland. The total is up to 72.5, with 89 percent of early tickets and almost every early dollar on the Over.

(23) Northwestern at Purdue odds
Opening line
Pick 'em, Over/Under 50.5

Why the line moved
This game opened pick 'em and was up to Northwestern -2.5 by Monday afternoon at FanDuel, where 60 percent of bets and 57 percent of money are on the Wildcats. The total was jumpy early, dropping to 48.5 and rebounding to 51.5, with 56 percent of bets/79 percent of money on the Over.

(20) USC at Arizona odds
Opening line
Arizona +12.5, Over/Under 63.5

Why the line moved
The Trojans are already up to -14.5 at FanDuel, where practically every early ticket and dollar are on USC. The total also made a significant jump to 67.5 by Monday night, though FanDuel's betting splits aren't yet available.

(12) Oregon at Washington State odds
Opening line
Washington State +7.5, Over/Under 60.5

Why the line moved
The Ducks rolled over Stanford 35-14 in their season opener, then went up at -7.5 and quickly moved to -9.5 at FanDuel for Saturday's road game against the Cougars. Sixty-nine percent of bets and 61 percent of dollars are on Oregon through Monday night. The total tumbled from 60.5 to 56.5 through 24 hours, with ticket count 2/1 and money more than 6/1 on the Under.

(19) Southern Methodist at Tulsa odds
Opening line
Tulsa -1.5, Over/Under 63.5

Why the line moved
Tulsa is up a point to -2.5 at FanDuel, thanks to early point-spread money running 2/1 on the Golden Hurricane, while the early ticket count is 2/1 on No. 19 SMU. The total moved from 63.5 to 62.5 to 64.5, then back to the opener of 63.5, with 62 percent of bets and practically every dollar going to the Over.

(1) Alabama at LSU odds
Opening line
LSU +22.5, Over/Under 74.5

Why the line moved
Preseason, the date for this game likely had a huge red circle around it. Now, Alabama is 6-0 SU and defending national champion LSU is a meager 2-3, and the Tigers have COVID issues that could end up postponing this game. Alabama jumped up to -27.5 by Monday afternoon before FanDuel took the game off the board, due to the COVID situation. At that point, tickets were 5/1 and money more than 9/1 on the Crimson Tide.

 
Posted : November 10, 2020 12:23 pm
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Iowa vs. Minnesota Week 11 Odds
Joe Nelson

The Big Ten is in the spotlight Friday night with a matchup of West rivals as Iowa visits Minnesota.

These teams met in a memorable spot on the schedule last season and this year following 0-2 starts, both squads delivered emphatic wins last week.

Here is a look at a key battle in the Big Ten West Friday night to start a big college football weekend as Iowa visits Minnesota.

Week 11 Matchup: Big Ten Conference
Venue: TCF Bank Stadium
Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
Date: Friday, Nov. 13, 2020
Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: FS1

Iowa-Minnesota Betting Odds

Spread: Iowa -3.5
Money-Line: Iowa -160 Minnesota +140
Total: 57.5

Minnesota RB Mohamed Ibrahim has nearly been unstoppable this season, racking up 571 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns. (AP)

How to Handicap Iowa-Minnesota

While Minnesota delivered a strong 2019 season as a co-division champion and bowl winner that landed in the national top 10 by the end of the season, the Gophers didn’t solve their rival to the south, losing to Iowa for a fifth straight season.

While Minnesota has the historical series edge at 62-49-2, Iowa has dominated the past four decades including a 15-6 S/U and 13-7-1 ATS run since 1999 when Kirk Ferentz took over in Iowa City.

Minnesota has featured six different head coaches in the time Ferentz has been at Iowa but current head coach P.J. Fleck appears to have some staying power after last season’s breakthrough 11-2 campaign. Fleck is 0-3 vs. Iowa however, losing last season as a 9-0 squad ranked #8 in the polls.

Iowa appears to be leading with its defense this season, currently among the national leaders allowing only 4.1 yards per play, nearly half the 8.0 average Minnesota has allowed, which is the worst nationally at this point in the season.

Minnesota does have stronger returning personnel on offense however and so far in the matching 1-2 starts the Gophers have been the considerably superior offensive team.

Checking the weather in Minneapolis is always warranted, particularly in November. While Friday morning will start with a low around 15 degrees, by game time the temperature is expected to climb into the low 30s.

After some snowfall earlier in the week, Friday night appears to offer a clear window with some wind possible in the lower double-digit MPH range.

Big Ten Race

With a planned eight game schedule in the Big Ten this season the 0-2 starts for both of these teams may have knocked them out of the division race already.

The victor could still have a path to contention however as the current leaders Northwestern and Purdue are risks to fall back to the pack and the favorite Wisconsin has already missed two games due to Covid issues; one more missed game and the Badgers will be ineligible for the division title.

Despite losing records both Iowa and Minnesota have positive scoring differentials and both teams can easily make a claim deserving to have a better record right now. Iowa blew a 20-14 fourth quarter lead vs. Purdue and an early 17-0 lead vs. Northwestern while winning the yardage battle in both losses.

Minnesota had a 38-21 4th quarter lead over Maryland in a prime time game two weeks ago only to lose in overtime with a missed PAT after a touchdown that could have forced a second session.

Minnesota actually could be in better shape in the Big Ten West race via tiebreakers as both losses came vs. East teams while Iowa is 0-2 in the division.

Quarterback Corner

Nate Stanley was a solid three year starter at quarterback for Iowa and replacing him has been a challenge.

Stanley is currently a practice squad player across town with the Vikings and Spencer Petras has struggled to lead the Hawkeyes so far.

A redshirt sophomore from California, Petras stands 6’5” and did see token snaps last season. This year he has completed 54 percent of his passes for only 5.6 yards per attempt and has more interceptions than touchdowns. All three interceptions came in the meltdown vs. Northwestern but even in last week’s convincing win Petras had a very low completion rate.

Originally recruited by Fleck to Western Michigan, Tanner Morgan emerged as the Minnesota starter as a freshman in 2018. He delivered a huge campaign last season with 30 touchdowns and only seven interceptions, passing for over 3,000 yards on 10.2 yards per attempt with a lot of big plays.

Last year’s leading receiver Tyler Johnson is now catching passes from Tom Brady on Sundays. Another NFL prospect Rashod Bateman decided to return after initially opting out of the season, as Minnesota has the tools to be a successful offensive team.

Betting Analysis – Hawkeyes

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

2020: 1-2 S/U, 1-2 ATS, 1-2 O/U
2019: 10-3 S/U, 6-7 ATS, 3/8 O/U

Iowa has outscored its opponents 89-52 while finishing plus in yardage in all three games by margins of +74, +20, and +119.

Iowa’s last two opponents have been held below 300 yards though last week’s blowout win over Michigan State featured some big breaks, finishing +3 in turnovers and scoring a pair of touchdowns just before halftime on a punt return and an interception return.

The defense has been excellent, holding opponents to below 56 percent pass completions and 6.0 yards per attempt, both among the best marks in the Big Ten.

While comparing teams nationally is a bit misleading given the unbalanced schedules at this point, only five teams have allowed fewer yards per rush than Iowa’s 2.6 average and Iowa trails only San Diego State, Cincinnati, and Marshall in yards per play allowed at 4.1 with that trio of teams a combined 14-1 this season.

Petras has struggled as the offense is in a transition season but the running game has been disappointing as well.

While Tyler Goodson has 233 yards and 5.4 yards per carry to lead Iowa, the Hawkeyes haven’t been able to lean on their running game while playing with a lead much of the season.

Goodson’s season numbers are built mostly on last week’s performance that included a 71-yard run vs. Michigan State as he was held in check by both Purdue and Northwestern.

While Iowa has a well established home field edge, the Hawkeyes have performed well in recent years on the road, including a 24-12 S/U and 22-13-1 ATS mark since 2013.

Iowa did lose the opener at Purdue as a similarly priced favorite and went 2-2 S/U and ATS on the road last season in Big Ten play. Iowa has won and covered in the past two trips to Minneapolis winning a low scoring 14-7 game in 2016 and a shootout 48-31 in 2018.

Iowa is just 3-3 S/U and ATS in the past six trips in games outdoors at TCF, which opened in 2009. Iowa will have another difficult road game up next playing at Penn State next Saturday.

Betting Analysis - Golden Gophers

2020: 1-2 S/U, 1-2 ATS, 2-1 O/U

Fleck led a great turnaround in four years at Western Michigan going from 1-11 in 2013 to 13-1 in 2016. He appeared to be a year ahead of schedule after 5-7 and 7-6 seasons, breaking through to 11-2 last season for the Gophers.

Minnesota did have a few suspect results with three close games in non-conference play but the enthusiasm for the program climbed to heights not seen in decades, reaching a peak winning a November showdown with Penn State in a pairing of undefeated teams.

The Gophers would lose two of the final three Big Ten West games and Wisconsin represented the division in the Big Ten title game but a nice win over Auburn in the Outback Bowl capped off a great season.

Expectations are now elevated for Fleck and the Gophers particularly with a veteran offensive line along with Morgan, Bateman and running back Mohamed Ibrahim, who was a productive complement to Rodney Smith last season. An early score in the opener set a positive tone for the Gophers but Michigan would lead 35-17 by halftime and the eventual 49-24 defeat to the Wolverines certainly looks even worse at this point.

Maryland beating Penn State last week softens the 45-44 defeat on the road but this home game now stands out as a critical turning point for the season after getting in the win column last week vs. Illinois.

Next up is Purdue, Wisconsin, and Northwestern in succession, three teams all still entering this week undefeated in the Big Ten West.

While the defense has struggled, Minnesota has scored 109 points in three games for more than 36 points per game on average.

Last week’s 49-point performance for Iowa was the first time the Hawkeyes had topped 36 points in Big Ten play since 2018 as the Gophers may be a threat to simply outscore Iowa even if the defense is vulnerable.

Minnesota did hold Illinois to only 287 yards last week but the Illini have greatly struggled this season and are deep on the depth chart at quarterback as it can’t be taken as a sign of major improvement. Defensive Coordinator Joe Rossi ironically missed last week’s game after testing positive for COVID-19 and he has returned to the team this week.

There has been a slight home field edge for the Gophers in the Fleck era with a 15-7 S/U mark having gone 12-10 ATS since he took over in 2017, though only 8-7 S/U & 8-7 ATS in Big Ten home games, now dropping each of the past two as home underdogs with the season finale loss hosting Wisconsin last season and the season opener vs. Michigan this season.

Historically Speaking

Last Season - (Iowa 23 Minnesota 19)

In an electric atmosphere Minnesota beat Penn State 31-26 at home in a pairing of 8-0 squads, with Penn State ranked #4 in the nation. It was a tight game as Penn State threatened late with an interception in the end zone ending the game. Morgan had a flawless performance as the Gophers hit several big plays with Bateman and Johnson combining for more than 300 yards on 14 catches.

The next week 9-0 and #8 ranked Minnesota was an underdog in Iowa City and predictably fell flat.

Iowa entered that game off a tough 24-22 loss at Wisconsin, sitting at just 3-3 in Big Ten play but with three losses by a combined margin of 14 points all vs. ranked opponents. Iowa built a 13-0 lead in the first quarter but by the end of three quarters Minnesota was back in the game down 20-13.

The key play of the game may have been a sack by A.J. Espensa late in the third quarter taking Minnesota from 2nd-and-10 at the Iowa 20 to 3rd-and-long with the Gophers eventually stopped on downs for the second time in the game on the edge of scoring range, after also missing an earlier field goal.

Minnesota would still climb within four with a touchdown with just over three minutes to go. Those laying points with the Hawkeyes got a huge gift as Minnesota missed the PAT that would have made it a three-point game, even with the common closing spread.

The Gophers forced a punt but took two more sacks, one of which knocked Morgan out of the game. Backup Cole Kramer was forced into the game for 3rd and 4th down desperation plays, the second of which was intercepted.

Notable Betting Trends

-- Iowa is 20-2 S/U and 16-6 ATS as a road favorite since 2013

-- Since 2004, Iowa is 39-13 S/U and 33-18-1 ATS when favored by 7 or fewer points

-- Iowa is 20-7 S/U and 18-8-1 ATS vs. Minnesota since 1993

-- Minnesota is 13-26 S/U and 24-15 ATS as a home underdog since 2007

-- Since 2000 Minnesota is 18-36 S/U and 23-28-3 ATS when an underdog of 7 or fewer points

 
Posted : November 13, 2020 12:20 pm
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Friday’s games
Florida Atlantic (3-1) @ FIU (0-3)
— FAU won three of its first four games, losing only road game 20-9 at Marshall.
— Owls have allowed only 11.5 ppg in their first four games.
— FAU has 6 starters back on offense, 3 starters back on defense.
— Owls have 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
— FAU has a junior QB with 29 career starts.
— Since 2014, Owls are 5-9-1 ATS as a road favorite.

— FIU lost its first three games, including a loss to a I-AA team.
— Panthers’ two I-A losses are by combined total of five points.
— FIU’s last game was three weeks ago.
— FIU has 4 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Panthers have 53 returning starts on the offensive line.
— FIU have used three QB’s so far, completing 26-60 passes.
— Since 2017, FIU is 7-0 ATS as a home underdog.

— FAU won last three series games, by 30-35-28 points.
— Owls ran ball for 229+ yards in last five series games.
— Underdogs are 8-6 ATS in last 14 series games, with 7 outright wins.

Iowa (1-2) @ Minnesota (1-2)
— Iowa lost two of first three games, with losses by total of five points.
— Hawkeyes lost their one road game, 24-20 at Purdue.
— Iowa has had internal problems since LY, with players/coaches.
— Hawkeyes have 7 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Iowa has 108 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Hawkeyes have a soph QB this year, with 3 starts.
— Since 2013, Iowa is 16-5-1 ATS as a road favorite.

— Minnesota lost two of its first three games; they won last week.
— Gophers allowed 810 YR in their first three games.
— Minnesota scored 85 points in its last two games.
— Minnesota has 9 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Gophers have 127 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Gophers have a junior QB with 22 starts.
— Since 2013, Minnesota is 10-6 ATS as a home underdog.

— Iowa won last five series games, four of them by 7 or fewer points.
— Hawkeyes won their last two visits to Minnesota, 48-31/14-7.

East Carolina (1-5) @ Cincinnati (6-0)
— East Carolina is 1-5 this year, allowing 34+ points four times.
— ECU threw the ball for 681 yards in its last two games.
— ECU has 8 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Pirates have 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
— ECU has a junior QB with 23 career starts.
— Since 2016, Pirates are 8-13-1 ATS as a road dog, but 2-0 this year.

— Cincinnati is 5-0 vs I-A teams, with all five wins by 14+ points.
— Bearcats ran ball for 313-242-341 yards in last three games.
— Bearcats have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Cincinnati has 52 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cincy’s junior QB has 31 career starts.
— Cincinnati is 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as a home favorite.

— Cincinnati won eight of last nine series games, winning 46-43 LY— ECU led that game 31-21 at halftime.
— Pirates lost their last four games at Cincinnati (0-4 ATS).

 
Posted : November 13, 2020 12:21 pm
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NCAAF

Week 11
Trend Report

Friday, November 13

Florida Atlantic @ Florida International
Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Florida Atlantic is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Florida International
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida International's last 7 games when playing at home against Florida Atlantic
Florida International is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

Iowa @ Minnesota
Iowa
Iowa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Iowa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home

East Carolina @ Cincinnati
East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of East Carolina's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of East Carolina's last 12 games
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

 
Posted : November 13, 2020 12:22 pm
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NCAAF
Long Sheet

Friday, November 13

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLA ATLANTIC (3 - 1) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 3) - 11/13/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-0 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IOWA (1 - 2) at MINNESOTA (1 - 2) - 11/13/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 2-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

E CAROLINA (1 - 5) at CINCINNATI (6 - 0) - 11/13/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 43-66 ATS (-29.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-1 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 2-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : November 13, 2020 12:23 pm
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Dunkel Index - NCAAF

 
Posted : November 13, 2020 12:27 pm
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