Saturday 9/21/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & MLB games.
Pro Computer Gambler
Sep 21 '19, 7:00 PM in 3d
NCAA-F | Oregon vs Stanford
Play on: Oregon -10 -112 at BMaker
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Active on MIZ, BAY, and ORE this week
CLEM is 29-0 SU since Oct 08, 2011 at home off a road game.TENT is 0-38 SU since Sep 15, 1984 on the road.MIZ is 8-2 ATS (10.70 ppg) since Nov 04, 2017 as a home favorite.RICE is 7-16 ATS (-7.43 ppg) since Oct 03, 2015 at home.
EXTRA SYSTEM: A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. Active for Week 4 on TLN, MIAF, and TXAM
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Info Plays
Sep 21 '19, 7:00 PM in 3d
NCAA-F | Ball State vs NC State
Play on: Ball State +20 -110 at sportsbook
1* FREE INFO PLAY on Ball State +20 -110
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Cajun-Sports 3* Complimentary Selection
CFB 3* Arizona State -7.5 vs. Colorado 10PM
ANALYSIS: Back for our Week 4 Complementary selection. We won again on these pages with Clemson destroying Syracuse 41 to 7 which makes our comp record 2-1 ATS on the season. Now on to our Week 4 Comp Selection. The Colorado Buffalos are on the road in Tempe Arizona to take on the Arizona State Sun Devils Saturday night. Colorado has opened the season going 2-1 SU having upset Nebraska then falling to Air Force their last time out as three-point favorites. Their opponent comes into this contest undefeated with their first two wins expected as twenty-four-point favorites against Kent State and then thirty-five-point favorites over Sacramento State. Their last outing, they were on the road at Michigan State as +15.5-point road underdogs a different situation and one many thought they would come up short in especially with MSU playing with revenge for last season’s loss in the desert. Well they came away from the game against Sparty with a 10 to 7 victory. Although the Devils were outgained in this contest by a large margin and benefitted from a penalty on MSU that took a field goal off the board when Sparty missed the kick following the penalty. So, the question is are the Sun Devils for real? For the Buffalos the question is can they bounce back from that loss to Air Force? Last season the Buffs caught this Sun Devils team traveling for the third time in four weeks and defeated the Devils 28 to 21 as 2.5-point favorites. This one should come down to defense and knowing the Buffs have allowed 31, 31 and 30 points in their three games while the Devils have held all three of their opponents to a single touchdown. We went to our trusty database and we have a system that is active in this contest. It tells us to Play ON a conference home favorite of 7-26 points off a non-conference SU win as an underdog of more than 8 points, 28-4-1 ATS and 31-2 straight up. We are going to back the home team here as Herm and Company hold the Buffs offense in check. Lay the points
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Wunderdog
Free CFB Pick for September 21st, 2019
Game: C. Carolina Chanticleers (331) @ Massachusetts Minutemen (332)
Time: Saturday 09/21 1:00 PM Eastern
Pick: Coastal Carolina -16.5 (-107) at 5dimes
Coastal Carolina has impressed with a winning record, including a 12-7 upset at Kansas as a +7 dog. Coastal Carolina is on an 8-3 spread run on the road, as well as 5-1 ATS in non-conference games. They catch a break in facing a winless Massachusetts squad off a 4-8 campaign. UMass is #127 in the country defensively, allowing 530 yards per game and #128, allowing 48.3 points per contest. UMass was favored at home by a touchdown against Southern Illinois and lost 45-20 while allowing 502 yards (237 yards rushing, 5.4 yards per carry). Massachusetts is 3-9 ATS in non-conference tilts, plus 3-7 ATS when following a defeat. Play Coastal Carolina
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Dave Price
Sep 21 '19, 10:30 PM in 2d
NCAA-F | UCLA vs Washington State
Play on: UCLA +19 -110 at Bovada
Dave’s Saturday Free Play:
1* on UCLA +19
The Key: The UCLA Bruins have played one of the toughest schedules in the country, which is a big reason why they are 0-3 right now. They faced Cincinnati and Oklahoma as underdogs, and were upset by a pesky San Diego State team. They have played the 21st-most difficult schedule thus far. Washington State is 3-0, but they’ve played the 190th schedule. Their wins have come against New Mexico State, Northern Colorado and Houston. They were fortunate to escape Houston with a 31-24 win. UCLA is a team that improved as the season went on. I think that will be the case again this year for this young team. And I think the price is right to pull the trigger on the Bruins here catching 19 points to the Cougars. The underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take UCLA.
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Bobby Ligs
SportGame SelectionGame Time
CFB(369) WYOMING at (370) TULSA3:30pm EDT - Sep 21/2019
THE PLAY: WYOMING 3.0 (-108)
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Kevin Dolan
Event: (327) CENTRAL MICHIGAN at (328) MIAMI FLORIDA
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: September 21, 2019 4PM EDT
Play: Total Under 48.5 (-110)
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Bryan Leonard
Event: (331) Coastal Carolina at (332) MASSACHUSETTS
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: September 21, 2019 1PM EDT
Play: MASSACHUSETTS 17.5 (-110)
332 Coastal Carolina at Massachusetts
The Chanticleers have played one of the easiest schedules in the country. Taking on Eastern Michigan, Kansas and Norfolk State. Despite the cupcake schedule Coastal Carolina has only outgained the opposition by 0.82 yards per play.
UMass is bad. No doubt about it. But even bad teams cover when the line is completely inflated. And believe me when I say this number is crazy. Our three sets of power ratings go from +9 to +14. And yet the current number is a field goal higher than our highest number. The value is clearly on the home dog side here, so hold your nose and cash the ticket.
PLAU MASSACHUSETTS
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Marc Lawrence College Football Free Play! - Saturday
Play - Louisville (Game 393). Edges - Cardinals: Head coach Scott Satterfield 19-11 SU and 18-12 ATS away in his career, including 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS when coming off an ATS win … Seminoles: Host in this series is 0-3 ATS … With FSU having been outgained in 10 of its 15 games under head coach Willie Taggart, we recommend a 1* play on Louisville. Thank you and good luck as always. > > Marc’s famous Perfect System Club shares and College Football Perfect System Play on Saturday afternoon’s football card. You don’t want to miss this 14-0 ATS perfect system play. Get it now and learn the perfect system from Marc and the other perfect angle inside the game that has NEVER LOST as well - you’ll be glad you did!
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Steve Janus
Sep 21 '19, 12:00 PM in 1d
NCAA-F | Michigan vs Wisconsin
Play on: Michigan +3½ -105 at Bovada
1* Free Sharp Play on Michigan +3½ -105
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ASA
Sep 21 '19, 3:30 PM in 1d
NCAA-F | Wyoming vs Tulsa
Play on: Tulsa -3 -126 at BetOnline
ASA PLAY ON Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-) over Wyoming Cowboys, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #370
Tip off here. The team that is 1-2 is favored by a FG (or -3.5) over the team that is 3-0 on the season. Wyoming’s 3-0 record is as deceiving as you’ll ever see. They have been outgained in all 3 games by a combined 315 yards! That includes their game last week vs FCS foe Idaho. It was a game that had the Cowboys favored by 4 TD’s and barely held on to win 21-16. Idaho actually had the ball inside the Wyoming 20-yard line with under 4:00 remaining and came away with no points. That’s the same Idaho team that lost 79-7 @ Penn State this season. The only road game this year for the Cowboys was a 23-14 win @ Texas State. It was a game in which Wyoming was outgained by 151 yards and had 11 fewer first downs. TSU led the game from start until 8:00 minutes remaining in the 3rd when the Cowboys returned an interception for a TD giving them a 20-14 lead, their first of the game. Texas State was the better team in that game despite the loss. Keep in mind this is a Bobcat team that has just a 7-33 record their last 40 games. The point is, Wyoming has played one of the worst FBS programs and an FCS team their last 2 games and could have and maybe should have lost both. Tulsa, on the other hand, is 1-2 but we feel they are undervalued because of that. Their losses have come at the hands of Michigan State and Oklahoma State, two of the better programs in the nation. The Hurricanes rush numbers, both offensively and defensively, are massively skewed. They are not impressive looking as a whole. However, they held 2 of their 3 opponents to 115 yards rushing or less but struggled to slow down Oklahoma State, one of the top running teams in the nation. Offensively they rushed for 160 yards vs Oklahoma State and 256 yards vs San Jose State. The problem is, Michigan State, #1 in rush defense nationally last year and #2 so far this year, held them to a negative 75 yards rushing (sacks included). They face a Wyoming team on Saturday that can’t pass at all. They average 6 completions per game. That’s it. We expect Tulsa to slow down their rushing attack which will make it very tough for the Cowboys to score. Tulsa is much more diverse offensively and they have an experience QB, Zach Smith, who can move the ball through the air if needed. This is a huge home game for this underrated Tulsa team going into their bye before starting AAC play. Lay the small number. It should be higher in our opinion.
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John Martin
Sep 21 '19, 3:30 PM in 1d
NCAA-F | Washington vs BYU
Play on: Washington -6½ -106 at Pinnacle
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Washington -6.5
BYU was a 5-point home underdog to USC last week. Now they’re only 6.5-point home underdogs to Washington. If Washington and USC were to play on a neutral, that means the line would be Washington -1.5. I’d have one of my largest wagers of the season on the Huskies if that was the case. I still believe they are one of the best teams in the Pac-12, and I think that one-point loss to Cal will have them undervalued in the immediate future. They came back and beat Hawaii by 32 as 22-point favorites last week. So they basically didn’t have to exert much energy. So they’ll have a lot left in the tank here against a BYU team that is coming off back-to-back overtime wins over Tennessee and USC. I think the Cougars run out of gas here against a Washington team that beat them 35-7 last year. Give me Washington.
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Alex Smart
Sep 21 '19, 3:30 PM in 1d
NCAA-F | Louisville vs Florida State
Play on: Louisville +7 -120 at Mirage
Oh how the mighty have fallen, as Taggarts Florida States looks to be a undisciplined shambles. Taggart's team is one of the worst in all of college Football for incurring penalties and that indirectly becomes a situation that facilitates their down trending projections in my power rankings. I know that Louisville's QB Jawon Pass may not start because of a nagging foot injury, but Malik Cunningham his backup is more than capable of leading his team here as was the case in last weeks win vs Western Kentucky.
FLORIDA ST is 3-12 ATS against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons and s 4-15 ATS L/19 as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points .
CFB road team (LOUISVILLE) - a good defensive team (16-21 PPG) against a horrible defensive team ( 34 or more PPG), after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game are 30-4 SU L/10 seasons for a 88% conversion rate.
CFB home team (FLORIDA ST) - off 2 or more consecutive overs, with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 35 or more points/game are 57-112 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Louisville to cover
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Cole Faxon
Sep 21 '19, 3:30 PM in 1d
NCAA-F | Temple vs Buffalo
Play on: UNDER 53 -110
FREE PLAY on Temple/Buffalo under 53 -110
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Dustin Hawkins
Sep 21 '19, 4:00 PM in 1d
NCAA-F | Central Michigan vs Miami-FL
Play on: Miami-FL -29 -101 at Pinnacle
1 Dimer on Miami-FL -29 -101
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Sal Michaels
Sep 21 '19, 4:30 PM in 1d
NCAA-F | New Mexico State vs New Mexico
Play on: New Mexico -4 -109 at GTBets
Free Play on New Mexico -4 -109
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Jack Jones
Sep 21 '19, 7:00 PM in 1d
NCAA-F | Oregon vs Stanford
Play on: Stanford +10½ -105 at Bovada
Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Stanford +10.5
When this line was released early in the offseason in May, Stanford was a 2.5-point favorite over Oregon. Now the Cardinal are 10.5-point home underdogs to the Ducks this week. That’s a 13-point adjustment based off the opener and I believe it’s the perfect ‘buy low’ opportunity on Stanford here.
The betting public wants nothing to do with Stanford now after they went on the road and got blown out 20-45 by USC and 27-45 by UCF in back-to-back weeks. But Stanford played without starting QB KJ Costello against USC, and he means everything to them. And the loss in the heat down in Orlando against UCF isn’t really surprising when you consider UCF has only lost one game over the past three seasons combined.
Now Stanford returns home where they were last seen beating Northwestern 17-7 in the opener. They are a much different animal at home. In fact, Stanford is a perfect 9-0 ATS in their last nine games as a home underdogs. They have won eight of those games OUTRIGHT as an underdog. You can bet David Shaw will have his team highly motivated off those two losses and with Oregon coming to town Saturday night.
Conversely, it’s a good time to ’sell high’ on Oregon. They lost to Auburn 21-27 in their opener, but came back the next week and took out their frustrations on Nevada in a 77-6 home win. Then last week they went through the motions and beat Montana 35-3. So this will be their first true road game of the season and probably almost as tough of a test as that neutral site game was against Auburn.
Oregon is 1-12 ATS in its last 13 games off a win by more than 20 points. David Shaw is a perfect 10-0 ATS after two or more consecutive ATS losses as the coach of Stanford. Stanford is 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in its last three meetings with Oregon, outscoring them by a combined 84 points in those three meetings. The Cardinal are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a loss. Bet Stanford Saturday.
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Sean Murphy
Sep 21 '19, 7:30 PM in 1d
NCAA-F | UTSA vs North Texas
Play on: UNDER 58½ -114
Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between UTSA and North Texas at 7:30 pm et on Saturday.
This is being pegged as a potential shootout but I don't see it playing out that way on Saturday night at Apogee Stadium. Note that last year's matchup produced just 45 total points in a narrow North Texas victory. Texas-San Antonio opened the season with a 35-7 win but that came against FCS squad Incarnate Word. Since then, the Roadrunners have put up just 27 points in dropping back-to-back games against Baylor and Army. Note that while North Texas did drop to 1-2 with a loss at California last week, it did prove it can hang defensively, giving up two first quarter touchdowns before holding the Bears out of the end zone the rest of the way in a 23-17 loss. The Mean Green Eagles catch a favorable matchup here as UTSA possesses a rather punchless offense as evidenced by last week's dismal performance against Army. In that game, the Roadrunners threw for just 209 yards on 33 pass attempts and their leading rusher managed a paltry 27 yards on the ground. While I am high on North Texas QB Mason Fine, there's no denying that he has struggled over his last two contests, completing just 38-of-72 passes for 362 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions. While UNT should have its way with UTSA, the same could have been said last year when it managed only 24 points. Take the under (8*).
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Paul Leiner
Three CFB Picks 9/21
100* Tennessee +14
100* Colorado +7.5
100* Syracuse -4.5
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Mike Wynn
Free Play: Michigan St/Northwestern Under 38 Points
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Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Saturday, September 21, 2019
9/21 05:00 PM PT / 8:00 PM ET
CF (323) NEBRASKA VS (324) ILLINOIS
Take: (323) NEBRASKA
1
Reason: Your free play for Saturday, September 21, 2019 is in the College Football contest between Nebraska and Illinois. Your free play is on Nebraska.
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR EARLY SATURDAY:SYRACUSE -4½ over Western Michigan
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Totals4U
Early Saturday's Free Selection: Temple Owls/Buffalo Bulls over 50 1/2
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Roz Wins
Roz's SATURDAY, Septmeber 21, 2019 Free Pick
9/21 05:00 PM CF (323) NEBRASKA VS (324) ILLINOIS
Take : Nebraska
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Atlantic Sports
Early Saturday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Ohio Bobcats - 3
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#1 Sports
Early Saturday's Free Selection: Central Michigan Chippewas + 29 1/2
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Platinum Plays
Free Pick: SMU Mustangs +8 over TCU
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Sharp Bettor
SharpBettor FREE Play Saturday, September 21, 2019
9/21 12:30 PM CF (325) TEMPLE VS (326) BUFFALO
Take : Temple
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Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Early Saturday Selection Is
WISCONSIN -3
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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Saturday : Take NEW MEXICO -4½ over New Mexico St
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Golden Dragon
FREE WINNER for Saturday
Syracuse -4'
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Hawkeye Sports
Early Saturday's Free Pick: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles + 38
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: Mississippi -2'
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Arthur Ralph
FREE play Sat Texas - 6 1/2
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Teyas Sports
FREE PICK 9/21 EARLY PICK LSU UNDER 62 1/2
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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Saturday: NC STATE -19½ over Ball St
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High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Early Saturday: Appalachian State Mountaineers + 2 1/2
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Kenny Towers
Your Free Pick for Saturday: NEVADA -14½
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John Anthony Sports
SATURDAY Free Selection:
LOUISVILLE
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Tony Sacco
Tony Sacco's Free Play for SATURDAY is on the
TEMPLE
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Hollywood Anthony
Your SATURDAY Free Play from Hollywood Anthony is
SAN DIEGO ST
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Scottie Can Pick
NCAA Football OREGON DUCKS ‑10 ‑120
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Team Underground
NCAA Football NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH +14.5
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DONNY ACTION
NCAA Football KENTUCKY WILDCATS/MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS u48.5
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R and R Totals
NCAA Football SOUTHERN METHODIST MUSTANGS/TEXAS CHRISTIAN HORNED FROGS ‑115 u55.5
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Tommy King Wins
NCAA Football GEORGIA STATE PANTHERS +3
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Ace / V.I.P.
MLB WASHINGTON NATIONALS ‑260
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Pure Lock
NCAA Football MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS ‑6 ‑105
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Tys Terrific Tips
NCAA Football BRIGHAM YOUNG COUGARS +6.5
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Top Shelf Sports Pick
MLB OAKLAND ATHLETICS ‑300
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Mikey Money
MLB CHICAGO CUBS ‑135
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Tony Brown
Tony's *5 Star NCAA Free Play
Michigan vs. Wisconsin, 09/21/2019 12:00 EDT
Total: -115/+44½ Over
Sportsbook:
Bodog
Fp: Badgers putting up 55 a game them self with just a lil help from the wolverines this game should sail over the total . Making the over my NCAA free play !
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Chip Chirimbes
Chip's FREE NCAA Best Bet Winner
Appalachian State vs. North Carolina, 09/21/2019 15:30 EDT
Point Spread: +3/-120 Appalachian State
Sportsbook:
Bodog
Chip's FREE NCAA Best Bet Winner
Appalachian State at North Carolina 3:30 ET
Mountaineers (+) over Tar Heels- Can't see how the rejuvenated Mack Brown squad can be 'up' for this one after after opening with wins over South Carolina and Miami-Fl before falling to Wake Forest. Each season there always seems to be a game where Appalachian State gets a chance to battle and FBS Big-5 school and they always seem to be ready to pull the upset as they are here. The Mountaineers have had two weeks to prepare and saw close hand what the Tar heels have as the observed the Deacons win. Take APPALACHIAN STATE!
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Joe D'Amico
Joe D'Amico's NCAAF FREE WINNER
UCLA vs. Washington State, 09/21/2019 22:30 EDT
Point Spread: -18½/-107 Washington State
Sportsbook:
Bookmaker
Saturday's FREE WINNER: Washington State.
Game 398.
7:30 pm pst.
You think Chip Kelly ever regrets leaving Oregon? LOL His UCLA Bruins are 0-3 this season and 3-13 overall since he took the reins. They have no offense whatsoever, ranking 101st in passing, 124th in rushing, and 127th in scoring. Their defense is just as bad (108th vs. the pass, 105th vs. the rush, 101st in points allowed). In comes the nations #1 passing attack of Washington State, led by QB, Anthony Gordon (1324 YP, 78.7% CR, 12/2). Dual threat RB, Max Borghi and a deep receiving corps are going to shred the UCLA "D". The Bruins are 6-14 ATS the last 20 on the road and 5-16-1 ATS the last 22 in September. The Cougars 12-3 ATS the last 15 at home and 7-2 ATS the last nine vs. the PAC 12. Take Washington State. Thank you.
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