ARKANSAS ST (4 - 2) at LA LAFAYETTE (3 - 3) - 10/21/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-1 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS STATE vs. LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
Arkansas State is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arkansas State's last 7 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
NCAAF Week 9
Underdogs covered last three ULL-Arkansas State games, winning three of last five SU; State's 50-27 win here in 2012 was their first in last six visits to Lafayette, where Ragin' Cajuns are 3-8 as home dogs since '07, but 1-0 under Hudspeth. ULL won its last two games after losing three in row before that- they scored 34 points in each of its last two games. ASU won its last three games, allowing 14-14-10 points; their only two losses are at Tennessee/Miami, BCS-level teams. Redhawks are 8-2 vs spread in last ten games as a road favorite. Sun Belt home teams are 6-12 vs spread on conference play, 1-3 if underdogs.
Armadillosports.com
Arkansas State vs UL-Lafayette Preview
Atssportsline.com
The Arkansas State RedWolves (4-2 SU, 5-1 ATS, 2-4 O/U) have won three straight as they prepare to meet another Sun Belt rival. The UL-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns (3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS, 3-3 O/U) are also undefeated in the league and last played on Tuesday, roughing up Texas State, 34-10. UL-Lafayette hosts Arkansas State on Tuesday night at 8pmET.
Last game: (10/22/13): UL-Lafayette (pk) over Arkansas State, 23-7.
Weather: Clear. Northeast wind: 3-8. Gametime temperature: 72.
Key College Trends
Arkansas State is
6-1 ATS last 7 road games.
23-8-1 ATS last 32 conference games.
10-4 ATS last 14 in October.
UL-Lafayette is
1-5 ATS last 6 conference games.
Home team is 1-4 ATS last 5 in series..
5-1 ATS last 6 in series.
Outlook: Arkansas State was picked second in the league behind UL-Lafayette and both teams are undefeated in the Sun Belt. Arkansas State has won three straight since losing to Miami-Fla., 41-20 on Sept. 13. New coach Blake Anderson has this team playing in an uptempo offense as they average 452.2 yards per game overall to rank 38th in the nation. Quarterback Fredi Knighten has 1,291 yards passing with seven touchdowns and he's rushed for 333 yards and six scores. Running back Michael Gordon adds 441 yards and three touchdowns, by averaging 9.4 yards per carry. Defensively, they allow just 360.2 yards per game and are strong against the run, giving up just 114.7 yards per game (21st). Arkansas State is a minus-4 in turnover margin to rank 104th in the nation. They've given up the ball 14 times, but has forced 10 turnovers.
UL-Lafayette is coming off a strong win over Texas State lats Tuesday on the road, but they will be without top receiver, Jamal Robinson. He led the team with 260 yards receiving on 15 catches and four touchdowns. Slot receiver Al Riles did grab three receptions for 81 yards last week. They've forced just three turnovers this season and have given up 11 to rank 118th in the nation in turnover margin. Last week against Texas State, the Cajuns forced two turnovers and returned one for a touchdown. They allowed just 270 total yards, but still allow 426.7 yards per game overall to rank 85th in the nation.Quarterback Terrance Broadway has completed 60.7 percent of his passes for 1,117 yards with seven TDs and eight interceptions along with 344 rushing yards. Elijah McGuire leads with 395 rushing yards and four scores. College Football Odds: Arkansas State is a 2-point betting odds favorite. Total: 54.0.
Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Betting Preview
By: Marcus DiNitto
Sportingnews.com
The Sun Belt conference offers up a Tuesday-night tilt for us wagering enthusiasts that serves as a nice side dish to Game 1 of the World Series. Louisiana-Lafayette, playing in its second straight Tuesday game, is a short underdog at home vs. Arkansas State (8p.m. ET, ESPN2).
A week ago, the Ragin' Cajuns ran all over Texas State, winning 34-10 as 2.5-point road underdogs, for their first cover in five games. ULL sits at 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS on the season.
In its last outing, Arkansas State rolled over Georgia State while laying 10.5 points on the road.
The Line: Arkansas State -3, Total: 56.5
Line movement: The spread and total have both been on the move since opening numbers were posted. The Wynn opened the Red Wolves -2.5 Sunday night, moved to -2 nearly immediately, but was bet the other way, to -3, on the day of the game. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened the total at 54 on Monday but was up to 56.5 on Tuesday.
Both of tonight’s combatants are 2-0 in the Sun Belt, after facing some stiff out-of-conference opponents.
Arkansas State outlook: Arkansas State traversed through a three-game stretch of at Tennessee, at Miami and vs. Utah State before starting its Sun Belt schedule. The Red Wolves lost but covered as 16-point dogs against the Vols (34-19); were blown out in Miami as 14.5-point dogs (41-20); and won outright in overtime as 3-point favorites over Utah State (21-14). It was the Aggies’ first game without star QB Chuckie Keeton, however.
The Red Wolves come into Tuesday’s game on a three-game win and cover streak, having beaten Louisiana Monroe 28-14 as 10.5-point favorites before their 52-10 win over Georgia State.
ULL outlook: Lafayette, meanwhile, had not impressed until last week. It snuck by Georgia State 34-31 as a 16-point home favorite the previous week, lost outright 48-20 as a 16-point favorite against Louisiana Tech in September and couldn’t keep things close enough against Ole Miss (56-16) or Boise State (34-9) to get the cash.
UL-Lafayette will be without top receiver Jamal Robinson tonight.
Ratings, trends and stats: The Don Best/Linemakers Power Ratings have Arkansas State 4.5-points better than ULL on a neutral field, which suggests tonight's point spread is pretty close to where it should be, given a 2- or 2.5-point home-field advantage.
ULL won last year’s meeting 23-7 at Arkansas State. The game was a pick ‘em and stayed UNDER the 69-point total. The Red Wolves won the previous two meetings, but failed to cover as 11-point favorites in a 30-21 home victory in 2011.
ULL has covered the spread in five of the last six meetings, and has won seven of the last eight meetings at home.
The Cajuns, though, haven’t been getting it done at home, as they're on a 1-5 ATS run there.
Some trends on the total:
-- The total has stayed UNDER In six of Arkansas State's last seven games
-- The total has stayed UNDER In eight of Arkansas State's last 11 on the road
-- The total has gone UNDER In four of the last six meetings between these teams
-- 11 of ULL's last 12 home games have gone OVER
The Times-Picayune has this bit of insight: “The Red Wolves rely on an uptempo offense and run-stopping defense. Arkansas State is 38th in the nation in total offense, averaging 452.2 yards per game. Quarterback Fredi Knighten has passed for 1,291 yards and seven touchdowns and rushed for 333 and six touchdowns. Running back Michael Gordon has carried for 441 yards and three touchdowns. He averages 9.4 yards per carry. ...
“UL-Lafayette is allowing 426.7 yards per game on defense, 85th in the nation. But the Cajuns only allowed 270 versus Texas State.”