Sunday 3/28/21 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NBA, MLB & NCAAB games
Pure Lock
Game: (643) Oregon at (644) USC
Date/Time: Mar 28 2021 7:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Oregon +2.0 (-110)
__________________
Mike McClure
FLORIDA ST. @ MICHIGAN | 03/28 | 5:00 PM EDT
MICHIGAN -3
ANALYSIS: Michigan certainly feels the impact of not having Isaiah Livers on the floor, but they're still a very good defensive team that is now undervalued. The Big Ten struggles combined with Florida State's impressive win over Colorado has created a nice value spot for the Wolverines. My simulations make this number -4.7 thanks to Michigan's strength on the defensive end of the floor. Hunter Dickinson avoiding early foul trouble will be key, but Michigan should be fine against a Florida State team that ranks outside of the top 25 in terms of defensive efficiency. Lay it.
__________________
Thom Cunningham (Vegasinsider)
CBB
UCLA +6.5
USC -140 (Moneyline)
USC/Oregon Over 139
Michigan/Florida State Under 144
__________________
Larry Hartstein
UCLA @ ALABAMA | 03/28 | 7:15 PM EDT
ALABAMA -6.5
ANALYSIS: The Pac-12 is 9-1 SU and ATS in the tournament, but it should be noted that UCLA's three opponents combined to shoot 13 of 54 from 3-point range. Alabama put up 96 points against a tough Maryland defense and is back at full strength. The Crimson Tide have scored 80 or more four times in their eight-game win streak. They also feature the nation's third-best defense. Lay the points.
__________________
Pickswise Sports
CBB 3* Best Bets
Michigan/Florida State Under 144
Oregon +2.5
__________________
Ben Burns
10* 10* TOP GUN! alabama-5.5
10* SWEET 16 TOTAL OF YEAR! under-usc/oregon
__________________
krackomberger
creighton +7.5 1h
fsu +3
oregon +3
__________________
Kenny White
CREIGHTON @ GONZAGA | 03/28 | 2:10 PM EDT
OVER 158.5
ANALYSIS: Gonzaga pushes the pace as fast as any team in the nation. Creighton will not back down, though. The Bluejays play at the 42nd fastest pace in the nation. Their offense ranks 23rd in efficiency and Creighton is 14th best in effective field goal percentage. Gonzaga is 7-2 to the over in its last nine games. The Bulldogs have the No. 1 offense in the nation in terms of efficiency. My model has the total at 166 here.
+281 5-2 IN LAST 7 GONZAG O/U PICKS
3:45 PM
OREGON @ USC | 03/28 | 9:45 PM EDT
OREGON +2
ANALYSIS: I absolutely love the way Oregon is playing right now, looking the best they have all season. The Ducks have won seven of their last eight games and covered in six of seven. Their run started after a 72-58 loss at USC on Feb. 22 in the only meeting between the teams this season. Oregon will have revenge on its minds. The Trojans are coming off an amazing game vs. Kansas in which they hit 61 percent of their three-point attempts. They held Kansas to 29 percent shooting from the field. Don't expect to see those type of numbers in this one.
__________________
Larry Hartstein
CREIGHTON @ GONZAGA | 03/28 | 2:10 PM EDT
GONZAGA -13
ANALYSIS: Creighton is 0-6 ATS in its last six NCAA Tournament as an underdog and is shooting 43.9 percent over its last eight games. The Zags have won 25 straight by double digits and were not overly impressive -- by their standards -- in their 16-point win over Oklahoma. Marcus Zegarowski and the Bluejays have the firepower to keep it interesting, but only for a while. Lay the points.
__________________
Micah Roberts
FLORIDA ST. @ MICHIGAN | 03/28 | 5:00 PM EDT
MICHIGAN -2.5
ANALYSIS: All I’ve been hearing about from experts is how Michigan can’t win without Isaiah Livers, but the Wolverines are doing it and holding opponents to 39 percent shooting (FSU allows 40 percent). Michigan has had role players take on more responsibility and it’s working to fill the void. FSU beat a Colorado squad that was deflated and mourning from the shooting in Boulder. Michigan gets the cover.
__________________
Spartan
3* Florida State +2.5
__________________
Big Al
NHL St. Louis
NIT Memphis
__________________
Mike Barner
ATLANTA @ DENVER | 03/28 | 9:00 PM EDT
ATLANTA +4.5
ANALYSIS: The Hawks have played well of late, winning nine of their last 11 games. Their two defeats during that stretch were a two-point loss to the Kings and a nine-point loss at the hands of the Clippers. The Nuggets may have a 12-9 record at home, but they are only 8-13 ATS there. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see the Hawks win this game outright, so I’ll roll with the points.
__________________
World Worst Picker
Gonzaga
Michigan
Alabama
we play:
Creighton
Florida State
UCLA
__________________
5ticket
Romania-Germany : Germany -2 @ 2.50
Poland-Andorra : Poland -4 @ 2.00
Total Odds : 5.00
__________________
David Schwab - Vegasinsider
CBB
Florida State +3 (-120)
UCLA +7
Oregon +2.5
Oregon/UCLA Over 138 (BIG PLAY of the DAY)
__________________
Vegasinsider College Basketball Totals Club
CBB
Creighton/Gonzaga Over 158 (BIG PLAY of the Day - Best Bet)
Michigan/Florida State Over 143
UCLA/Alabama Over 145.5
USC/Oregon Over 138
__________________
Tim Wilkinson - Vegasinsider
CBB
Creighton +14
Oregon +2.5
__________________
Kevin Rogers - Vegasinsider
CBB
Creighton +14
UCLA +7
__________________
Thom Cunningham - Vegasinsider
CBB
Michigan -135 (Moneyline)
USC -131 (Moneyline)
__________________
XS Sports Picks
$5000 Anaheim +1.5 -125 (5pm)
$3000 Detroit Under 5.5 -130 (3pm)
__________________
XS Sports Picks
Atlanta +4.5 (9pm)
__________________
Stephen Oh
LOUISIANA TECH @ COLORADO ST. | 03/28 | 3:00 PM EDT
COLORADO ST. -1
ANALYSIS: Neither of these teams showed up for their NIT semifinal matchups and now find themselves in the third-place game, but even though the line is forecasting an even matchup, my model has Colorado State as the clearly superior team, winning in 66% of simulations. Expect this line to continue moving ahead of opening tip.
ORLANDO @ L.A. LAKERS | 03/28 | 10:00 PM EDT
ORLANDO +7.5
ANALYSIS: I know the Lakers broke their four-game losing streak on Friday, but I'm not buying into them yet without LeBron James and Anthony Davis. The Magic may have a new look lineup, but they were still able to remain competitive against Portland on Friday. My model says Orlando covers more than two-thirds of the time, so you're getting good value at this number.
__________________
SLEEPYJ | CBB MONEY LINE SUN, 03/28/21 - 9:45 PM
644 Southern California (-140) Pinnacle vs 643 Oregon
triple-dime bet
__________________
John Morrison Ton Chau ChampNBA System
Now, let's go onward to the today's unofficial Champ NBA system bet(s):
Orlando Magic {A** bet - This is an unofficial bet because Orlando currently has the NBA's bottom 10% worst road record.
__________________
Chris Jordan
800♦
College Basketball
Gonzaga
__________________
Trace Adam's
Double Your Wager
2000♦
Dead Mortal Lock
Gonzaga
__________________
Brandon Lang
75 DIME
MONEY MAKER
Gonzaga
__________________
Gus Augustine
100 Dime
+ MAX WAGER +
Florida State
__________________
Eric Schroeder
50 Dime
Regional Semifinal
Total of the Year # 2 in a Row
Michigan-Florida State Under
__________________
Mitchell Newman
75 DIME
USC
__________________
Tommy Brunson
Top-Rated
100 DIME
College Winner # 4 in a Row
Alabama
__________________
Bob Valentino
75 Dime
College Winner # 10 of 15
Living Lock
Florida State
__________________
Steve Budin
BROOKLYN COLLEGE BOYS
50 DIME
Round of 16 Lock
USC
__________________
Bob Balfe
USC -2
__________________
Marc Lawrence
3* Florida st
__________________
Jim Feist
Zags
__________________
Jesse Schule
Zags
__________________
Will Rogers
Alabama
__________________
Bryan Powers
SWEET 16 UNDERDOG POWER-SHOCKER
Creighton
__________________
Larry Ness
Michigan
__________________
Ben Burns
NCAA MONEYLINE MONEYBALL!
Michigan ml
__________________
H&H Sports
FCS Football Week #7 (4-0 Saturday & 2 games canceled)
Heading into Sunday 20-8 ATS Overall..
Sunday Spring CFB
Long Island -4
Eastern Illinois +11.5
Jacksonville State -10.5
__________________
Jonathan Willis
Vegasinsider College Spring Football
FCS 15-7 ATS Overall..
Sunday FCS Football
Jacksonville State -10.5
Eastern Illinois +11.5
Tennessee Tech/Southeast Missouri State Under 48
__________________
Scott Spreitzer
Alabama -6.5 (8U)
USA -125 (3U)
Dillion/Reddick +105 (4U)
__________________
H&H Sports - Basketball Update #1
NIT 10-5 ATS Overall
CBB
Triple Dime - Mississippi State +5.5
Dime - Colorado State -118 (Moneyline)
NBA
Triple Dime - Phoenix Suns -6 (-115)
Double Dime - Hawks/Nuggets Over 222
Double Dime - Los Angeles Lakers -6 (-118)
__________________
Root
Reserve- USC
Gold Standard- Gonzaga
Pinnacle- Alabama
__________________
Jonathan Willis
Vegasinsider NBA
Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets
TV: NBA TV - Time: 9:10pm
Best Bet - Denver Nuggets -4 (-118)
__________________
Michael Crosson
Vegasinsider NBA
Portland Trailblazers vs Toronto Raptors
TV; NBA League Pass - Time 7:10 pm
Best Bet - Portland Trailblazers -118 (Moneyline)
NBA Player Prop Best Bet - OG Anunoby Over 14.5 Points (-114)
__________________
Larry Ness
nit 10* goy is memphis-4
10* nba insider of month nuggets-4.5
10* Sweet 16 Game of Year oregon+2
9* situational stunner alabama-6.5
Larry's CBB Weekend Wipeout/+$12,666 L30 days
Handicapper: Larry Ness
League: NCAAB
Competition: Florida State vs Michigan
Time: Sunday, March 28, 05:00 pm ET
Bet Type: Point Spread
Pick: Florida State +2.5 (-107) (BetAnySports)
Rotation #: 627
__________________
Vince Akins Spotsbook Breakers
NBA
Portland Trailblazers -118 (Moneyline)
Atlanta Hawks +4.5
Atlanta Hawks/Denver Nuggets Under 222
Portland Trailblazers/Toronto Raptors Over 230
__________________
Doug Upstone
6 Alabama -6.5
__________________
gianfranco1114 system plays
1H SUNS / HORNETS OVER 108
1H CREIGHTON / GONZAGA OVER 74.5
1H MISSISSIPPI ST / MEMPHIS OVER 62.5
1H UCLA / ALABAMA OVER 67.5
__________________
Master Sports
NBA
4* #555 Atlanta Hawks +4.5
__________________
Kyle Akins
PHOENIX @ CHARLOTTE | 03/28 | 1:00 PM EDT
PHOENIX -6
ANALYSIS: Phoenix is wrapping up its Southeast road trip having had some success thus far and is in a great position to get another victory before heading back home. Charlotte is a home underdog coming off a 110-105 over Miami. The Hornets are 0-6 ATS (-9.08 ppg) as a dog coming off a win. Charlotte got out to a huge lead in that game, leading by 23 points at halftime and then holding on. Teams that are home underdogs coming off a game where they led by at least 17 points at halftime are 101-170-5 ATS.
__________________
Bryan Leonard
4% [NHL] (67) Nashville Predators at (68) Chicago Blackhawks
Time: 8:08 PM EDT Chicago Blackhawks -115
Analysis: 68 Nashville at Chicago
Quick rematch for these two. In 5x5 G+-/60 we see Nashville ranked 18th and Chicago 23rd. In xG/60 the Predators are +0.02 and the Blackhawks -0.33.
On the Power Play in G+-/60 Nashville ranks 15th and Chicago 7th. In xG/60 we see the Preds at +5.33 and the Hawks +5.44.
On the Penalty Kill these are two of the worst teams in the league. Nashville ranking 29th and Chicago 26th in G+-/60. In xG/60 the Predators are -6.49 and the Hawks -5.89.
Nashville won yesterday but the advanced numbers stated Chicago was the better team. We look for the host to get the best of the Preds tonight.
PLAY CHICAGO
__________________
Ben Burns
NCAA TOURNEY MAIN EVENT
Creighton+13.5
__________________
anything on marco would be greatly appreciated, he's hot.