Tuesday 3/5/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAB, NHL & NBA games.
Stats Analytics Sports
College Basketball 229-232 (+4.37) Overall ytd
Horizon Tournament - Top Total & Side
3* Wisconsin Green Bay/Illinois-Chicago Under 155
1* Wisconsin Green Bay -2.5
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JR ODONNELL
3*
Miami -6
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Ken Thomson
1*
Air Force +13.5
1*
George Mason +5
1*
Alabama +2.5
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Stephen Nover
2*
Montreal -130
1*
New Jersey devils -120
1*
Detroit / Colorado under 6.5
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Stephen Oh
PURDUE -5
PURDUE @ MINNESOTA | 3/05 | 8:00 PM EST
12:06 AM
I'm projecting a double-digit win for the Boilermakers at Minnesota, with Purdue aiming to clinch at least a tie for the Big Ten regular-season title. Purdue is clicking on all cylinders, having won its last two games by an average of 26 points. Lay the points.
UNDER 228
HOUSTON @ TORONTO | 3/05 | 8:00 PM EST
12:02 AM
I'm projecting 214 points for Rockets-Raptors, giving us a strong play on the Under. This game won't be as fast-paced as the first meeting in Houston was.
65-41 IN LAST 106 NBA PICKS | +2055
2-1 IN LAST 3 TOR O/U PICKS | +90
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Donnie Rightside
EMU -1
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Dave essler
3*
Chicago +8
2*
Wright st -8
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Ben Burns
3*
Memphis +5.5
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Tony Chau John Morrison NBA Series System
Here are the upcoming Champ NBA system bets:
Boston {A} bet on March 5th - Confirmed official series.
Dallas {B} bet on March 6th - Unofficial series because they have the 2nd worst road record in the NBA.
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Stephen Oh
MEMPHIS +5.5
PORTLAND @ MEMPHIS | 3/05 | 8:00 PM EST
9:46 AM
The Blazers have won six of seven, and they've covered in seven in a row. But twice already, the Grizzlies and their top-ranked defense have put the clamps on the Portland offense. The Blazers averaged 91 ppg in the two games against the Grizzlies (winning at home, losing at Memphis), a stunning 22 points below their season average. My projection model sees another low-scoring, close game. Take the points with the home underdog.
65-41 IN LAST 106 NBA PICKS | +2055
4-1 IN LAST 5 POR ATS PICKS | +289
3-1 IN LAST 4 MEM ATS PICKS | +189
INDIANA -7.5
CHICAGO @ INDIANA | 3/05 | 7:00 PM EST
9:45 AM
I'm projecting a double-digit win for the Pacers, who are 24-9 at home this season. Even though the Bulls have won five of their last seven games, they are 7-25 on the road and have their sights set on the lottery. Lay the points.
65-41 IN LAST 106 NBA PICKS | +2055
3-1 IN LAST 4 IND ATS PICKS | +189
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Paul Leiner:
2000* CBB Over 135.5 Va Tech/Florida State
100* CBB VCU -4.5
100* NBA Over 218 Pacers/Bulls
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Aj hoffman
2*. FSU -3.5
2* wright state -8
2* Xavier -4
1* miss state +8
1* Kentucky -5
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PicksTennis
ATP Indian Wells - Qualification
Albot - Krueger
Under 21.5
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Professor Sumpter
The second leg of the UEFA Champions League round of 16 gets underway Tuesday when Borussia Dortmund hosts Tottenham and Ajax travels to Spain to face Real Madrid. Both games are set to kickoff at 3 p.m. ET.
Oddsmakers list Real Madrid at -165 odds to win (risk $165 to win $100), while Ajax is going off at +400. The draw is +330, and the Over-Under for total goals scored is 3.5. Meanwhile, Borussia Dortmund is a slight money line favorite at -110 (risk $110 to win $100), while the Over-Under is 3.
With so much at stake in both matches, you need to see what European football expert David Sumpter has to say.
Sumpter is an applied mathematician and author of "Soccermatics," a book that explains how math works inside the sport. Along with other experienced analysts, Sumpter developed the powerful Soccerbot model.
The Soccerbot reads current odds and all team performance data, calculates key metrics and predicts upcoming matches. In the three seasons since its inception, Soccerbot is up an incredible 2,000 percent on Premier League picks. That's right -- 2,000 percent!
And the model is off to a blistering start in the Champions League round of 16. It made some huge calls during the first leg, which included Paris Saint-Germain (+205) over Manchester United, AS Roma (-100) over FC Porto, Tottenham (+110) over Borussia Dortmund and Real Madrid (-120) over Ajax. Anyone who has followed it is up BIG.
Now, Sumpter has set his sights on Tuesday's round of 16 matches. We can tell you the model is leaning toward the Over in Real Madrid vs. Ajax, but its much stronger play is on the money line, saying one side has all the value. You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any picks.
Here are Professor Sumpter's picks:
REAL MADRID VS. AJAX | 03/05 | 3 P.M. ET
Money line: Real Madrid -165
Against the spread: at -1.00 on Real Madrid, back Real Madrid
Total goals: Under 3.5
BORUSSIA DORTMUND VS. TOTTENHAM | 03/05 | 3 P.M. ET
Money line: Borussia Dortmund -110
Against the spread: at -0.50 on Borussia Dortmund, back Borussia Dortmund
Total goals: Under 3
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Kevin Rogers (VegasInsider)
College Basketball
Kentucky -5
Auburn/Alabama Under 146
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Dwayne Bryant
5% CBB Totals System Max Bet
[641/642] Mississippi State at Tennessee UNDER 146 (-110)
5% play at 144.5 or higher
4% play at 142.5 to 144
3% play at 141 to 142
No play below 141
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Billy Coleman
NCAA BK
3* #644 Alabama +2.5
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Goodfella
3*
Wis.-Green Bay -145
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King creole
2*
Chicago / Indiana under 219
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Andre Gomes
2*
Philadelphia / Orlando over 223
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Greg shaker
1*
Mississippi / Kentucky under 140.5
3*
Tennessee / Miss. St under 148
2*
Duke / Wake Forest under 154.5
2*
Texas A&M / S.Carolina under 144.5
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Stephen Nover
2*
Montreal -130
1*
New Jersey devils -120
1*
Detroit / Colorado under 6.5
Added
3*
Colorado st +7
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Michael Rusk
UTAH ST. -7.5
UTAH ST. @ COLORADO ST. | 3/05 | 9:00 PM EST
12:31 PM
Utah State is on a roll and we’re gonna feed the hot hand tonight. The Aggies have proven their dominance this entire season. Cross referencing games, this ones a no brainer. For example, Colorado State just played New Mexico earlier this week and lost by double digits. Utah State dismantled New Mexico by 16 last month. I think Utah State should be a double digit favorite tonight. Don’t overthink this one, Aggies roll tonight.
13-6 IN LAST 19 CBB ATS PICKS | +627
VIRGINIA TECH +3.5
VIRGINIA TECH @ FLORIDA ST. | 3/05 | 7:00 PM EST
12:30 PM
We faded the Seminoles last game and all signs are pointing in a similar direction for tonight as well. The Hokies are an impressive team this season and have put together some statement victories against two premier top 10 teams in the country in Duke and Purdue. Look for the Top 10 defensive ranked Hokies to disrupt Florida State from the tip. I wouldn’t be surprised if Virginia Tech wins outright, but I like the points in what should be a tight matchup all the way through.
13-6 IN LAST 19 CBB ATS PICKS | +627
2-1 IN LAST 3 FSU ATS PICKS | +95
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Mike Tierney
AIR FORCE +13.5
NEVADA @ AIR FORCE | 3/05 | 11:00 PM EST
12:54 PM
Regardless of whether Nevada’s stat-sheet stuffer, F Jordan Caroline (18 ppg, 9.6 rpg), plays, Air Force is attractive. Caroline hurt his hand in a post-game tantrum Saturday. The Falcons have taken three in a row, two on the road, straight-up, while the last Wolf Pack cover was five games ago. Air Force led at halftime in the first meeting in Reno.
9-6-1 IN LAST 16 CBB O/U PICKS | +232
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CleInsidersports
NCAAB
Butler ML (-175)
Nebraska +13
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Carmine Bianco
Champions League 2 Pack
3% Borussia Dortmund -0.5 (-106)
4% REAL MADRID -152
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WWP
Super Pick - Eastern Michigan
Play the opposite
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Mike Barner
NBA Memphis +6
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Sleepyj
3*
Utah st -7.5
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Chris Jordan
1000*
SEC GAME OF THE YEAR PART 2
Texas A&M
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WUnderdog
nba
Orlando+4 vs philadelphia
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CleInsidersports
NHL
Hurricanes/Bruins UNDER 5.5
Ducks/Coyotes UNDER 5.5
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Millerlocks
7:00 pm est ncaab
xavier vs. Butler
pick: Xavier +4.5 (-103)
risk: 11 units
7:00 pm est ncaab
virginia tech vs. Florida state
pick: Florida state -4 (-101)
risk: 11 units
8:05 pm est nba
houston rockets vs. Toronto raptors
pick: Houston rockets +3 (-108)
risk: 11 units
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Chip's Guaranteed Top-Rated NHL Power Play
Montreal vs. Los Angeles, 03/05/2019 22:30 EDT,
Money Line: -129 Montreal
Sportsbook: PinnacleSports
Montreal at L.A. Kings 10:35 ET
Canadians over Kings- The last time these two meet in October the Kings posted a 3-0 win but things have changed since then as Los Angeles has become an also-ran and Montreal is in the thick of the playoffs. The Kings are off a win over the Blackhawks after having lost their previous nine. Montreal meanwhile is looking for a bit of revenge against a team they know they can dominate. Add that the Canadians are 5-1 in their last six against the West. Take MONTREAL!
Chip's 'Guaranteed' Highest-Rated Megabucks
Kansas vs. Oklahoma, 03/05/2019 21:00 EDT,
Point Spread: +1½/-115 Oklahoma
Sportsbook: Bodog
Kansas at Oklahoma 9:00 ET
Sooners (+) over Jayhawks- My first thoughts when analyzing the Jayhawks is that they are just not the same quality as pervious seasons. After losing their big man early in the year they haven't fully recovered as their 13-16 overall ATS record would indicate as they are just 3-7 ATS in true road games and 5-9 ATS in all game outside of Lawerence. Oklahoma has two games left before the Big-12 tourney to impress the NCAA Big Dance selection committee. The Sooners are just 3-19 overall against Kansas in the last 22 meetings but have been great ATS 18-8-3 ATS this season and 6-2 ATS as home dogs. Take OKLAHOMA!
Chip's 'Guaranteed' Top-Rated High Roller
Mississippi State vs. Tennessee, 03/05/2019 21:00 EDT,
Point Spread: +8/-105 Mississippi State
Sportsbook: Bookmaker
Mississippi State at Tennessee 9:00 ET
Bulldogs (+) over Volunteers- Although Tennessee is No. 4 and ready to set a school record for wins in a season they are just 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall with the lone ATS win coming against Kentucky in a huge revenge games. Mississippi State meanwhile in trending in the opposite direction winning five straight before and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six overall before a loss at Auburn Saturday. The Volunteers are undefeated 17-0 at home but have a losing home record ATS at 7-8-1. With the Vols off of a huge win and the Bulldogs off of a disappoint loss I expect each to move to the center with MISSISSIPPI STATE getting the money. Take the BULLDOGS!
Chip's 'Guaranteed' Top-Rated Vegas Hotline
Kentucky vs. Mississippi-Ole Miss, 03/05/2019 21:00 EDT,
Point Spread: +5½/-113 Mississippi-Ole Miss
Sportsbook: PinnacleSports
Kentucky at Mississippi 9:00 ET
Rebels (+) over Wildcats- Okay I'll start by saying how Kentucky has dominated this series going 106-13 SU over the years and have won the last nine meetings by an average 14.8 points. Although the Wildcats are off of a crushing loss to Tennessee Saturday they are still 10-4 ATS in their lat 14 overall and 6-1 ATS in their last seven against Mississippi. But, buyer beware as the Rebels are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games overall and get the money here. Take MISSISSIPPI!
Chip's Highest-Rated NBA Megabucks
Orlando vs. Philadelphia, 03/05/2019 19:00 EDT,
Point Spread: +4½/-109 Orlando
Sportsbook: PinnacleSports
Orlando at Philadelphia 7:05 ET
Magic (+) over 76ers- Both clubs are off of losses last time out and the 76ers are playing with the loss of Joel Embiid for a few more weeks and his absence is glaring. Orlando has been playing well with wins over Toronto, Golden State and Indiana before getting wasted by lowly Cleveland 107-93. This is an awful cheap price for Philadelphia at home where they have already defeated Orlando 116-115 with Embiid in the line-up, without him there is a void. The Magic are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 visits to the 'City of Brotherly Love' and they get the money once again. Take ORLANDO!
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Fezzik
2* Air Force / Nevada OVER 145.0
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Larry Hartstein
MINNESOTA -1
OKLAHOMA CITY @ MINNESOTA | 3/05 | 8:00 PM EST
3:22 PM
Paul George (sore shoulder) is a gametime decision, and this line has fallen with the expectation he'll give it a go. But he won't be 100 percent. Not only is OKC on an 0-7 ATS skid, but the Thunder have failed to cover those games by an average of nearly 8 points. Andrew Wiggins, averaging 35 points in two meetings with OKC this season, should have a big night. Back Minnesota to improve to 21-10 at home and cover versus the Thunder for the seventh straight time.
35-18-1 IN LAST 54 NBA ATS PICKS | +1540
24-18 IN LAST 42 OKC ATS PICKS | +473
3-1 IN LAST 4 MIN ATS PICKS | +190
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Vegas Synergy 3/5
4% Grizzlies +6.5
4% Rockets +3.5
4% Virginia Tech +4
3% Minnesota Gophers +5
4% Ole Miss +5.5
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Jack Jones
20* CBB Minnesota +5
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Shark of Sports
5-Unit Colorado State +7.5
Anyone see Rocketman Thx
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