Saturday 6/22/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, CFL & WNBA games.
Paul Leiner
Three MLB Picks 6/22
100* Padres -120
100* Nationals -125
100* Over 11 White Sox/Rangers
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+EV: MLB 4u: 901 New York Mets +143 (Z Wheeler | J Quintana) (Saturday, June 22nd)
+EV: MLB 4u: 920 Oakland Athletics -105 (Y Chirinos | M Fiers) (Saturday, June 22nd)
+EV: MLB 4u: 908 CIN/MIL un5 -115 (1st 5 Innings) (L Castillo | J Chacin) (Saturday, June 22nd)
+EV: BOXING 4u: 3002 Paulie Malignaggi -230 (BKFC 6) (Saturday, June 22nd)
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Accu Picks
MLB
3* #920 Oakland -106
Tony Chau/John Morrison Sports Betting Champ
Colorado +1.5 {B** bet and Unofficial
The system did win on other 2 plays last night.
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Tony Mejia
MLB
Texas Rangers -1.5 runs (+100)
Arizona Diamondbacks -131
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Tim Wilkinson
Top Total of the Day - Yankees/Astros Under 10.5
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Chris Jordan
Top-Rated
1000♦
American League
Mismatch of the Year
5-Run Blowout
1000 play on Seattle
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DR. CHUCK BASEBALL PLAYS
Game: (905) San Diego Padres at (906) Pittsburgh Pirates
Date/Time: Jun 22 2019 4:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H San Diego Padres -125
Paddack v. Archer
Better pitcher and the system backing him is excellent following the series opening loss and tough one at that...with Lauer being outdueled by Musgrove in a pitcher showcase. Machado hit a HR for the only backing Lauer would get but also his gaffes in the field caused the Pirates game winning run. I expect a more efficient. defensive Machado as well as our Chris (in the battle of struggling Chris v. struggling Chris) to be the more efficient starter through 5 innings. I look for Paddack to bring down his fly ball rate...the issue that plagued 2 of his 3 consecutive poor starts...and he showed signs in his last outing again San Fran.
Archer has allowed a run per inning his last 2 times out. While he is much better in his home park than on the road...in neither position is he able to avoid clogging the bases with free passes. The Dads have also been close to the best road team against righties all month and I think they snap awake tomorrow after Musgrove took out some aggression and shut them down hard Friday night.
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Game: (907) Cincinnati Reds at (908) Milwaukee Brewers
Date/Time: Jun 22 2019 4:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Cincinnati Reds +104
Castillo v. Chacin
Reds handled their business 3 times against the Stros...and twice already against Nelson and Anderson...now THEY have their by far number 1 starter going today at less money!
If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck...it is almost definitely a duck! No Over thinking and Reds first 5 is the way to go!
Game: (909) Atlanta Braves at (910) Washington Nationals
Date/Time: Jun 22 2019 7:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: 1H Atlanta Braves +103
Foltynewicz v. Sanchez
Same theme...Sanchez and the Nats as a first 5 favorite...off a win?! This ain't Corbin of Strasburg...let alone Max...de facto bargain!
Game: (913) San Francisco Giants at (914) Arizona Diamondbacks
Date/Time: Jun 22 2019 10:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Under 10.0 (+100)
Godley v. Beede
33-17 Under streak...nuff said!
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ROB VENO BASEBALL PLAYS
Game: (903) Miami Marlins at (904) Philadelphia Phillies
Date/Time: Jun 22 2019 4:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+107)
Game: (911) Colorado Rockies at (912) Los Angeles Dodgers
Date/Time: Jun 22 2019 7:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-119)
Game: (927) Chicago White Sox at (928) Texas Rangers
Date/Time: Jun 22 2019 9:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Texas Rangers -1.5 (-103)
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Al DeMarco
Top-Rated 15 Dime Release
Mismatch of the Week
Yankees Run Line
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Jack Brayman
Top-Rated
100 DIME
Winner # 28 of 45
PITCHING MISMATCH OF THE YEAR
Indians Run Line
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Tony Weston
25 DIME
Pitching Mismatch of the Month
SF Giants
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Sean Micheals
25 DIME
N.L. Lock
Reds
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Zack Cimini
HOUSTON +150
HOUSTON @ N.Y. YANKEES | 6/22 | 7:15 PM EDT
9:57 AM
Road trips gone awry typically are not long-lasting for high-profiled winning teams. Yet the Astros are in the midst of a peculiar six-game losing streak. Fueled by the addition of Edwin Encarnacion, the Yankees have won seven-straight games. With both Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge back in New York's lineup, the undermanned Astros appear to be destined for another loss. Yet look for veteran starter Wade Miley to keep the Astros in it, and for the underdog Astros to cash.
29-16 IN LAST 45 MLB ML PICKS | +1189
16-10 IN LAST 26 NYY ML PICKS | +635
11-7 IN LAST 18 HOU ML PICKS | +305
MILWAUKEE -118
CINCINNATI @ MILWAUKEE | 6/22 | 4:10 PM EDT
9:54 AM
Every scenario for Milwaukee to snap out of its funk has been available. Still the Brewers have found a way to lose five straight and seven of their last eight. As poor as they’ve looked against the Reds, Saturday offers a reduced price based on Cincinnati's Luis Castillo’s dominant 2.26 ERA and 7-1 record. Grab the Brewers to finally play like a team that’s settled in from a three-series road trip.
29-16 IN LAST 45 MLB ML PICKS | +1189
8-6 IN LAST 14 MIL ML PICKS | +109
MINNESOTA -183
MINNESOTA @ KANSAS CITY | 6/22 | 2:15 PM EDT
9:48 AM
On Friday, the Twins appeared on their way to lose a third straight game. As has been the case this season, the bats came alive and powered Minnesota to victory over the Royals. The Twins (17-8) have dominated in division games this season. Back the heavy price on Saturday as Minnesota gets an easier win than it did on Friday.
29-16 IN LAST 45 MLB ML PICKS | +1189
3-1 IN LAST 4 KC ML PICKS | +155
2-1 IN LAST 3 MIN ML PICKS | +82
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Paul Leiner
Three MLB Picks 6/22
100* Padres -120
100* Nationals -125
100* Over 11 White Sox/Rangers
ADDED
3000 Cubs -135
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Jay Mcneil
50 DIME WINNER # 4 IN A ROW
Road Warrior Lock
Twins Run Line
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Chuck O Brien
100 DIME
MLB Winner # 21 of 33
Run Line Rout
Dodgers Run Line
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DESERT SPORTS:
chc-130
was-115
mil-120
tb/oak u9.5
cin/mil u 9.5
long shot of the day: mia +170
Parley:
was-115
mil-120
tb-105
sf/az 09
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LV Wolf
Boston over 11
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ASA
6* TOTAL OF THE MONTH
Over in Pitt/ SD game
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Assassin Sports (MLB) - Cincinnati Reds +111
Luis Castillo take the mound for the Reds while the Brewers will start Jhoulys Chacin. Castillo has been one of the better pitchers in all of baseball this season. He’s posted a record of 7-1 with an impressive earned run average of 2.26. His numbers over his last three starts show that he is 2-0 with an even better ERA of 2.00.
Chacin for the Brewers has really had some struggles so far, going 3-8 with an ERA of 5.60. His last three starts have been terrible, as he has gone 0-3 with a 9.49 ERA.
Chacin allows too many walks and too many taters for my liking and Castillo is the polar opposite and has had a fantastic season and possesses a strong 1.11 WHIP
The Reds are red hot, having won six games in a row, while the Brewers are on a five-game losing streak. With the Reds’ ace on the mound, the Assassin is liking the Cincinnati Reds to win the series withe the sluggish Brew Crew!
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Stats Analytics Sports
Risked 1 unit to win 1.3 St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 +130 vs LAA Angels
Risked 2.3 units to win 2 OVER 8.5 -115 vs Chicago Cubs
Risked 2 units to win 2.06 OVER 9 +103 vs Oakland Athletics
Risked 1 unit to win 1.05 Cleveland Indians -1.5 +105 vs Detroit Tigers
Risked 2.28 units to win 2 OVER 8.5 -114 vs Milwaukee Brewers
Risked 2 units to win 2.06 OVER 10 +103 vs Arizona Diamondbacks
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Seabass : 400 twins RL, 400 marlins RL, 400 rays game under , 500 reds , 400
white Sox game over
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Rockdeman Sports
(MLB Underdog of the Day) - Atlanta Braves +107
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MLB(Bob Balfe)
2:15 PM EST
Rotation #915-916
Twins/Royals Over 10 runs
Berrios/Duffy
It’s always an advantage to take an over play when the road team can hit the ball.* Minnesota is also very lethal against left handed pitching.* The bottom of the 9th then becomes in play if the home team is losing which gives you more value and chances to score runs.* This ballpark today will have perfect hitting conditions as the winds are blowing out, it is hot and it is humid.* Neither bullpen has been that hot either.**Take the Over.
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+EV: MLB 4u: 914 Arizona Diamondbacks -135 (T Beede | Z Godley) (Saturday, June 22nd)
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Oskeim
4% Yankees -160
2%Yankees -1.5
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Vegas Vic
Texas rangers
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Johnny Bollman
WASHINGTON -118
ATLANTA @ WASHINGTON | 6/22 | 7:15 PM EDT
2:06 PM
Mike Fortynewicz is 2-5 with a 5.53 ERA but he has been much better as of late. Anibal Sanchez is 3-6 with a 3.84 ERA but in four starts since coming off the IL he has a 1.54 ERA. In one start against the Braves this season he gave up one hit through six shutout innings. The Nats are on fire lately and the Braves are 3-7 when Foltynewicz starts. Look for the Nats to win their sixth in a row.
39-21 IN LAST 60 MLB PICKS | +1182
3-1 IN LAST 4 WAS ML PICKS | +123
SAN DIEGO -118
SAN DIEGO @ PITTSBURGH | 6/22 | 4:05 PM EDT
2:01 PM
Paddack is 4-4 with a 3.15 ERA this season and he is coming off plenty of rest. Chris Archer is 3-6 with a 5.85 ERA and he is sporting a 7.33 ERA over his last nine appearances. The Padres are 7-5 when Paddack starts and the Pirates are 4-8 when Archer starts. Take the value in the Padres.
39-21 IN LAST 60 MLB PICKS | +1182
5-2 IN LAST 7 PIT ML PICKS | +284
CHI. CUBS -135
N.Y. METS @ CHI. CUBS | 6/22 | 2:20 PM EDT
1:57 PM
Jose Quintana is 3-3 with a 2.98 ERA at home this season while Zack Wheeler is 2-4 with a 5.55 ERA on the road. Wheeler has given up three runs or more in each of his last six starts and has had trouble with the long ball. I like the Cubs to take advantage today.
39-21 IN LAST 60 MLB PICKS | +1182
4-0 IN LAST 4 CHC ML PICKS | +400
4-1 IN LAST 5 NYM ML PICKS | +300
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Kenny White
OVER 10 HOUSTON @ N.Y. YANKEES | 6/22 | 7:15 PM EDT
3:14 PM
The Yankees own the No. 1 offense against left-handed pitchers now with Gary Sanchez, Giancarlo Stanton, Aaron Judge and Edwin Encarnacion in the lineup. Astros lefty Wade Miley has a 4.78 ERA over his last five away starts, covering 26.1 innings, which is 20 cents below average. The Yankees' Masahiro Tanaka is coming off the game of his life, a two-hit, complete game shutout over Tampa Bay. However, it was also the most pitches (111) he has thrown this season. Look for a regression from Tanaka.
13-6 IN LAST 19 MLB PICKS | +702
WASHINGTON -118
ATLANTA @ WASHINGTON | 6/22 | 7:15 PM EDT
3:07 PM
Both teams are 7-3 in their last 10. The Nationals' Anibal Sanchez has been far better at home: 15 cents better than the average pitcher compared to being 30 cents below average on the road. The Braves' Mike Foltynewicz has allowed 13 earned runs and five home runs in his last 22.0 innings. My line: Washington-138. Take the Nationals.
13-6 IN LAST 19 MLB PICKS | +702
7-4 IN LAST 11 ATL ML PICKS | +249
6-4 IN LAST 10 WAS ML PICKS | +133
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Micah Roberts
CINCINNATI +106
CINCINNATI @ MILWAUKEE | 6/22 | 4:10 PM EDT
1:59 PM
The Reds are on a six-game win streak, while the Brewers have lost five straight and seven of eight. Jhoulys Chacin pitched well in his last start allowing two runs in 4.2 innings, but the Brewers still lost, making it five straight losses behind him as well. The Reds are playing loose and doing everything right and now they get their ace on the mound. Reds to win.
20-14-2 IN LAST 36 MLB PICKS | +452
8-5 IN LAST 13 CIN ML PICKS | +229
8-4 IN LAST 12 MIL ML PICKS | +223
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Executive
600% - Nationals
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Augie J - Cubs Twins
Philly Guy - Phils Indians Pirates M's Red Sox
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