MLB Betting News and Notes Saturday, August 16

MLB Betting News and Notes Saturday, August 16

MLB Betting News and Notes
Covers.com

Giants struggling with Hudson starting at home

The San Francisco Giants are 0-4 in their last four ball games at home when right-hander Tim Hudson gets the start.

Hudson is scheduled to get the start at AT&T Park against the visiting Philadelphia Phillies Saturday afternoon.

In those four ball games, the Giants have lost to the San Diego Padres (-119), Cincinnati Reds (-119), Oakland A's (+100) and Pittsburgh Pirates (-117).

The Giants are currently big -201 home faves for the meeting with the Phillies.


Thunderstorms could impact this ball game Saturday

The Kansas City Royals and their backers will look to make it four-straight wins Saturday, but Mother Nature could have the last word in their game versus the Minnesota Twins.

According to DailyBaseballData.com, weather forecasts are calling for a 40 percent chance of scattered thunderstorms by the start of the game, and that will increase to a 50 percent chance as the game progresses.

As it stands, the Royals are slight -106 road faves at Target Field and oddsmakers have placed a total of 7.5 on the game.


Top Under umpire working the plate Saturday

With an Over/Under record of 4-18 when he's been tasked with calling balls and strikes this season, you'd be hard pressed to find an umpire that has catered to Under bettors more efficiently than Kerwin Danley.

Danley is scheduled to work home plate at Tropicana Field as the Tampa Bay Rays host the New York Yankees Saturday afternoon. Oddsmakers have tabbed the matchup with a total of seven.

When looking at umpires that worked behind home plate in at least 10 ball games this season, only Tony Randazzo has better winning percentage for Under bettors (2-11 O/U, 84.6 percent).

According to our umpire stats database, there is an average of 5.78 runs scored per game when Danley is working the plate. That's the lowest per game total of any umpire with at least 10 games calling pitches.

Danley has already cashed in for Under bettors this week. He was calling balls and strikes at Turner Field as the Atlanta Braves lost 4-2 to the visiting Los Angeles Dodgers, which closed with a total of eight.


Robinson Cano, Seattle - Prob Sat

Cano left Friday's game after fouling a ball off of his foot but is expected to play Saturday against the Tigers.


Top Under umpire working the plate Saturday

With an Over/Under record of 4-18 when he's been tasked with calling balls and strikes this season, you'd be hard pressed to find an umpire that has catered to Under bettors more efficiently than Kerwin Danley.

Danley is scheduled to work home plate at Tropicana Field as the Tampa Bay Rays host the New York Yankees Saturday afternoon. Oddsmakers have tabbed the matchup with a total of seven.

When looking at umpires that worked behind home plate in at least 10 ball games this season, only Tony Randazzo has better winning percentage for Under bettors (2-11 O/U, 84.6 percent).

According to our umpire stats database, there is an average of 5.78 runs scored per game when Danley is working the plate. That's the lowest per game total of any umpire with at least 10 games calling pitches.

Danley has already cashed in for Under bettors this week. He was calling balls and strikes at Turner Field as the Atlanta Braves lost 4-2 to the visiting Los Angeles Dodgers, which closed with a total of eight


Randazzo umpiring Hernandez-Price duel Saturday

We've been following Kerwin Danley's penchant for cashing Under bettors' tickets this season, but there is one umpire that has a better winning percentage for under wagers for umpires with at least 10 games behind the dish: Tony Randazzo.

Randazzo has an Over/Under record of 2-11 in his 13 ball games behind home plate this season. That's good enough for an 84.6 winning percentage if a bettor had taken the Under in all 13 of those games.

He'll be tasked with calling balls and strikes as the Seattle Mariners visit the Detroit Tigers with a couple of marquee pitchers toeing the rubber Saturday. Felix Hernandez is scheduled to get the start for the Mariners while David Price is slated to pitch for the Tigers.

The game currently has a total of 6.5.


This pitcher is dynamite on grass fields

Philadelphia Phillies pitcher Kyle Kendrick has been a fantastic play for Over bettors on grass in recent matchups, evidenced by seven of his last eight starts on the natural surface going above the total.

Kendrick gets the ball when the Phils visit the San Francisco Giants at AT&T Park - a grass field - Saturday. The Giants are currently -201 faves on the moneyline with an O/U of 7.5.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Saturday, August 16

Baseball Previews
Atssportsline.com

Milwaukee Brewers (67-55, 58-60 O/U) at Los Angeles Dodgers (70-53, 56-60 O/U)

Key Betting Trends:

Milwaukee is:
11-3 last 14 vs. National League West.
2-6 last 8 vs. a left-handed starter.
1-7 in Gallardo's last 8 starts on grass.

Los Angeles Dodgers are:
11-4 last 15 as a favorite.
17-4 in Kershaw's last 21 Saturday starts.

Pitching matchup: (RHP) Yovani Gallardo (7-6, 3.44 ERA) vs. (LHP) Clatyon Kershaw (14-2, 1.78 ERA)

Outlook: Milwaukee is attempting to hold on to the lead in the National League Central. That will be a tough task considering the fact that they St. Louis Cardinals started Friday two games behind and have to play San Diego at home. The Brewers face the best pitcher in the game in Clayton Kerhsaw. The Dodgers are sitting pretty at 5.5 games ahead of San Francisco before Friday night's late results. Kershaw has been a monster this year and even tougher against Milwaukee over the last two seasons, where he's allowed just two runs over his last three starts in 25 innings. In his last 10 starts, Kershaw has allowed just two home runs and just 46 hits in that span. He faces Yovani Gallardo, who has allowed just nine runs over his last four starts against the Dodgers. In his last start against the Cubs, he allowed just one run over seven innings. He'll have to great to beat Kershaw. MLB Odds: Los Angeles Dodgers are a -200-money line favorite. Total. 6.0.


New York Yankees (61-59, 50-67 O/U) at Tampa Bay Rays (61-61, 56-59 O/U)

Key Betting Trends:

New York Yankees are:
4-12 last 16 vs. American League East.
8-27 last 35 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.
1-6 last 7 vs. a left-handed starter.

Tampa Bay Rays are:
16-6 last 22 as a favorite
10-2 last 12 vs. American League East.
10-2 last 12 during game 2 of a series.
8-0 last 8 Saturday games.

Outlook: Tampa Bay finally reached .500 and that brought them one step closer to a possible second wild card. They still have work to do being behind Seattle by 5.5 games. The Rays have won four of their last five and five straight in this series. The Yankees have lost five straight as they've picked the wrong time to go into a hitting slump. The Rays are amazingly still in the race after trading ace David Price to Detroit. One of the players who came over in that deal is lefty Drew Smyly. In his last start, he gave up no runs in 7 2/3 innings at Texas. He faces Shane Greene, who pitched well against a slumping Detroit team in his last start, but was ordinary before that. Baseball Lines: Tampa Bay is a -135-money line favorite. Total: 7.0.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Saturday, August 16

MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts 
Sportingnews.com

LAS VEGAS -- The last time the Tigers go into a slide that removed them from atop the AL Central standings, they shrugged it off like champions and went on a seven-game winning streak to quickly reclaim the top spot. That was June, and at the same time the Tigers were regrouping, the Royals -- who had won nine straight to take over first place -- went on a losing streak.

Most of us thought the Royals were finished at that juncture as they lost seven of nine and the first four games after the All-Star break. But the Tigers have been struggling since the start of the second half, going 12-17 and losing seven of their last 10.

The trade deadline pickup of David Price made Detroit look unbeatable on paper with a stellar five-man rotation, but with injuries to Anibal Sanchez and Justin Verlander, they don't look so imposing anymore. Even Rick Porcello, who had been one of the best starters in the AL during the first half, has lost three times in the last nine days.

Porcello's latest was a 7-2 home loss to the Mariners on Friday night, a game which moved the Tigers completely out of the playoff picture. The win was Seattle's ninth in 10 games and moved them into a one-half game lead over Detroit for the second wild card spot. Is it really possible the Tigers won't make the playoffs?

That was something that was almost unthinkable heading into the All-Star break and after getting Price, their odds in Las Vegas to win the World Series dropped, making them at least co-favorites to win it all at short prices around 4-to-1. Today they are 8-to-1 at the LVH SuperBook.

Price (11-8, 3.21) has yet to record a win in two starts for Detroit and he's got his hands full today against Felix Hernandez (13-3, 1.95), who comes in with a record-breaking streak of allowing two runs or fewer in 16 straight starts -- three better than Tom Seaver's mark in 1971. How's that for pressure on Price to produce? Price has given up at least three runs in his last four starts, including four runs at Toronto in his last turn.

While everyone has been marveling at the possibilities of the A's and Tigers rotation, the Mariners rotation has allowed one run or fewer in seven straight starts. The MLB record is nine straight by the Braves in 2002.

Hernandez is having perhaps his best season ever and is receiving more help from the offense -- the main culprit in his low win totals over the years. Over the Mariners last 10 games, they're averaging 5.8 runs per contest. In his last start, King Felix got 11 runs of support against the Blue Jays.

To make matters worse for the Tigers, Hernandez has had their number over the years. In 11 starts against Detroit since 2007, he's gone 9-0 with a 2.68 ERA. That is some amazing history against one team, especially a team that has consistently hit so well over that span.

The thing that tilts the scales in favor of Seattle today isn't necessarily Hernandez, but it's how well they've done against left-handed starters, going 32-23 for +13.1 units of profit. Detroit is a -115 favorite, but all the signs are pointing to the hot team winning again against the struggling squad.

Saturday selections:

Mariners (Hernandez) +105 at Tigers

Pirates (Locke) +155 at Nationals

A's (Gray) -110 at Braves

Orioles (Jimenez) +112 at Indians

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