Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, August 14

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, August 14

Brad Wilton

Tonight's comp play will come in preseason football as I look for the Jaguars and the Bears to combine to hold Under the total.

Both teams were winners in their preseason openers, but both also played last Friday night, so the teams have had one less day of preparation, and as we know at this time of the year neither will be going all-in to push for the win. Players health a much bigger issue with less than a week in between games.

The Jags held Under in their win over the Bucs, as the game ended 16-10. The Bears were one of the few teams to actually play an Over in their first game, as they combined with Philly for 52 points.

Not going to read too much into that Over, as Philadelphia under Chip Kelly is not exactly known for their staunch defense being a calling card.

Keep this in mind, 13 of the 17 preseason games played thus far have ended up holding Under the total, and I think this one does as well.

3♦ JACKSONVILLE-CHICAGO UNDER

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, August 14

Cajun Sports

Jacksonville vs. Chicago
Play: Over 42 

The Jaguars travel to the Second City for a preseason battle against the hometown Bears. Both of these teams tend to play Over in this particular situation during the preseason. The Jacksonville Jaguars are 4-1 Over in Game of the preseason and 5-1 Over facing off against teams from the NFC. The Jaguars games away from Jacksonville especially in Game Two of the preseason have really been on the high side with a record of 8-1 Over in this situation. The Bears also trend to the Over especially in Game Two with a record of 6-1 Over and 4-2 Over at home in this situation. Our PreSeason TPR Index projects an average points scored for the Jaguars of 22.8 points while the Bears have a total points average score for this game of 25.3 points. The Math Model projects an average total points scored for the game of 47.84 points. With solid support from both teams we will play the Over on Thursday evening.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, August 14

Mike Rose

Padres at Cardinals
Play: Padres

Gonna roll the dice here and take a position on the streaking Padres who invade Busch amidst a 5-game win streak after taking two straight from the Buccos and following it up with a home sweep of the pathetic Rockies. STL has done nothing for me to believe they should be favored over anyone of this magnitude right now so long as Waino isn’t on the bump. STL currently sits in 3rd place within the NL Central, and that’s exactly where I think they end up at season’s end. It’s just been that type of season for the Redbirds with the injury bug having the roster in its sights all season long.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, August 14

Anthony Michael

Jaguars +4

Many great trends here pointing to the Jags. Jacksonville is 13-1 ATS on the road against NFC teams and they are 11-3 ATS on the road off of a home game. The Bears are 1-11 ATS in the second of back to back home games and they have only covered 3 of their last 18 times when playing their second pre-season game at home. Jacksonville is 19-12 ATS as a pre-season dog and Chicago is 19-26 ATS as a pre-season favorite. Take the Jags and the points here.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, August 14

Line Catchers

Jaguars + 3

It’s not often the Jacksonville Jaguars appear on national TV but they will get some national exposure as they meet the Chicago Bears on ESPN on Thursday night.

The Bears looked good in last weeks 34-28 win over the Eagles but I believe this line (-3) is slightly inflated. I fully expect the Bears to sit their starters for the majority of tonight’s game with QB Jay Cutler getting limited snaps. Jimmy Clausen and Jordan Palmer will do most of the play calling behind centre with backup players at WR and TE. It is worth noting that the Bears are only 1-3 ATS in Week 2 of the preseason the last four years.

The Jags beat the Bucs 16-10 last week and looked solid defensively in a low scoring game. QB Chad Henne should play a lot more series tonight with the first-team offense especially in the first half. Rookie QB Blake Bortles went 7-11 for 117 yards last week in two quarters of playing time and looked fairly comfortable in the pocket. The Jaguars are the team with a lot more to prove this season and winning is something they need to focus on even in preseason.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, August 14

OC Dooley

Rangers +125

To make a long story short it has been a disastrous season for Texas who have been unable to overcome a long list of devastating injuries both on offense and in the pitching staff.  Since the team is firmly in last place the Rangers decided to be cautious with an elbow injury to staff ace Yu Darvish who went from tonight’s scheduled starter to the disabled list.  At most offshore locations Texas despite team struggles and some recent shaky starts by Darvish opened as a prohibitive favorite (-140).  With the pitching scratch Texas comes in at “market value” this evening for which I am taking advantage.  One of the keys to this pick surrounds the GENERAL MANAGER of Texas who claims that Robbie Ross (despite a lofty 5.10 minor league ERA) has progressed and is ready for tonight’s major league opportunity as a fill-in.  For those who have followed visiting Tampa this season they tend to struggle in the initial three-to-four innings when facing a LEFTHANDED starting pitcher that they have never seen before.  That actually gives host Texas an edge this evening and their offense has seen various personnel record FOUR HIT efforts 3 times in the most recent 13 games.  Back on Tuesday in a VICTORY the Rangers received a four-hit effort from speedster Leonis Martin who has just reached the 20 stolen base plateau.  I am aware of the recent excellent numbers put up by Tampa starter Jake Odorizzi but as mentioned earlier he actually opened offshore as a substantial underdog

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